PHIEagles
2-4
22
TBD
Allegiant Stadium
70°F
033
OAKRaiders
4-2
TBD
Allegiant Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
7
0
0
15
22
Raiders
0
17
13
3
33
Spread
-1
Total
OVER
48
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
360
442
Total Plays
69
63
Yards / Play
5.2
7.0
EPA / Play
+0.01
+0.21
Passing Yards
225
--
Comp/Att
18/35(51%)
31/34(91%)
Yards / Pass
6.4
--
EPA / Pass
+0.12
+0.54
Rushing Yards
135
119
Rush Attempts
32
29
Yards / Rush
4.2
4.1
EPA / Rush
-0.07
-0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
23
Passing 1st downs
12
16
Rushing 1st downs
8
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
46%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
13
9
Red Zone %
75%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
3
4
Red Zone Attempts
4
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-10.81
-4.34
Sacks
2
--
Sack Yards
-13
--
Sack EPA
-3.14
--
Penalties
4
7
Penalty Yards
--
65
Penalty EPA
--
-6.78
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
OAKRaidersFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-1.0
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market52.2%
Model56.7%
Spread Pick
Raiders-1.0
Expected Value
+5.0%
Cover Probability
54.5%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+97
Home nfelo
1,498
Away nfelo
1,451
Home Field
+62.9
Base HFA
+41.2
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+14.4
Time Adj
+7.4
Net QB Adjustment
-11.7
Home QB Adjustment
-0.1
Away QB Adjustment
+11.6
Market Regression
-18.7
Final Difference
46.7
Model Spread
-2.5
Quarterbacks
J. Hurts
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+11.6
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
-0.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
26
Yards / Game
13
14
Passing Yards / Game
17
11
Rushing Yards / Game
1
15
EPA
EPA / Play
10
28
EPA / Pass
14
28
EPA / Rush
3
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
11
Interceptions / Game
7
32
Fumbles / Game
4
26
Turnover EPA / Game
27
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
16
4th Down Efficiency
25
32
RZ Efficiency
8
32
Raiders Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
19
Yards / Game
8
10
Passing Yards / Game
2
3
Rushing Yards / Game
28
9
EPA
EPA / Play
19
18
EPA / Pass
15
23
EPA / Rush
28
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
26
Interceptions / Game
17
21
Fumbles / Game
32
31
Turnover EPA / Game
11
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
23
4th Down Efficiency
7
9
RZ Efficiency
29
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U
Raiders
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
7-3
O/U