PHIEagles
10-2
43
TBD
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
83°F
035
LARRams
9-3
TBD
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
83°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
14
10
7
6
37
Rams
7
7
8
7
29
Spread
-1
Total
OVER
47.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
455
307
Total Plays
86
45
Yards / Play
5.3
6.8
EPA / Play
+0.16
+0.03
Passing Yards
316
198
Comp/Att
29/51(57%)
16/26(62%)
Yards / Pass
6.2
7.6
EPA / Pass
+0.32
-0.25
Rushing Yards
139
109
Rush Attempts
33
17
Yards / Rush
4.2
6.4
EPA / Rush
-0.06
+0.35
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
29
17
Passing 1st downs
18
8
Rushing 1st downs
5
6
Penalty 1st downs
6
3
3rd Down %
40%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
8
2
3rd Down Attempts
20
7
Red Zone %
60%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
4
Red Zone Attempts
5
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
-3.73
-12.91
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-17
-1
Sack EPA
-3.05
-6.37
Penalties
10
7
Penalty Yards
67
102
Penalty EPA
-8.01
-13.84
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
+1.0
Current
-1.0
Model
+0.5
Win Probability
Market52.3%
Model49.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+28
Home nfelo
1,598
Away nfelo
1,653
Home Field
+75.3
Base HFA
+55.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+19.9
Net QB Adjustment
+8.1
Home QB Adjustment
+33.3
Away QB Adjustment
+25.2
Market Regression
-10.4
Final Difference
4.9
Model Spread
-0.5
Quarterbacks
C. Wentz
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
+25.2
J. Goff
Proj. Value
+2.5
Team Elo Adj
+33.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
12
Yards / Game
4
17
Passing Yards / Game
7
11
Rushing Yards / Game
3
27
EPA
EPA / Play
4
7
EPA / Pass
2
5
EPA / Rush
11
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
24
Interceptions / Game
4
7
Fumbles / Game
22
3
Turnover EPA / Game
29
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
14
4th Down Efficiency
3
27
RZ Efficiency
2
24
Rams Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
4
Yards / Game
8
9
Passing Yards / Game
13
26
Rushing Yards / Game
7
1
EPA
EPA / Play
6
5
EPA / Pass
8
7
EPA / Rush
7
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
22
Interceptions / Game
1
6
Fumbles / Game
30
2
Turnover EPA / Game
21
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
3
4th Down Efficiency
22
2
RZ Efficiency
15
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
9-1
SU
8-2
ATS
5-5
O/U
Rams
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
5-5
O/U