PHIEagles
9-2
24
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
41°F
7 mph
19
BALRavens
8-4
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
41°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
0
14
0
10
24
Ravens
9
3
0
7
19
Spread
+3
Total
UNDER
50
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
252
372
Total Plays
54
71
Yards / Play
4.7
5.2
EPA / Play
+0.06
-0.06
Passing Yards
112
206
Comp/Att
11/19(58%)
23/36(64%)
Yards / Pass
5.9
5.7
EPA / Pass
-0.08
-0.03
Rushing Yards
140
166
Rush Attempts
33
32
Yards / Rush
4.2
5.2
EPA / Rush
+0.10
+0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
24
Passing 1st downs
7
11
Rushing 1st downs
9
10
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
33%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
4
6
3rd Down Attempts
12
15
Red Zone %
67%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-6
-31
Sack EPA
-2.52
-5.40
Penalties
8
4
Penalty Yards
55
20
Penalty EPA
-6.21
-2.26
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
BALRavensFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model59.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+66
Home nfelo
1,655
Away nfelo
1,654
Home Field
+40.6
Base HFA
+40.6
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+25.0
Home QB Adjustment
+33.1
Away QB Adjustment
+8.1
Market Regression
+22.8
Final Difference
65.4
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
J. Hurts
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+8.1
L. Jackson
Proj. Value
+5.8
Team Elo Adj
+33.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
8
Yards / Game
8
8
Passing Yards / Game
25
32
Rushing Yards / Game
2
1
EPA
EPA / Play
7
19
EPA / Pass
7
11
EPA / Rush
4
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
25
30
Interceptions / Game
3
21
Fumbles / Game
8
29
Turnover EPA / Game
31
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
20
4th Down Efficiency
3
2
RZ Efficiency
10
14
Ravens Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
1
Yards / Game
1
1
Passing Yards / Game
13
14
Rushing Yards / Game
1
4
EPA
EPA / Play
1
1
EPA / Pass
1
1
EPA / Rush
1
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
12
Interceptions / Game
1
6
Fumbles / Game
15
1
Turnover EPA / Game
27
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
8
4th Down Efficiency
15
21
RZ Efficiency
1
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
4-6
O/U
Ravens
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
8-2
O/U