PHIEagles
4-7
14
TBD
Lumen Field
38°F
2 mph
31
SEASeahawks
4-7
TBD
Lumen Field
38°F
2 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
0
7
0
7
14
Seahawks
7
10
7
1
25
Spread
+3
Total
OVER
43.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
330
347
Total Plays
56
52
Yards / Play
5.9
6.7
EPA / Play
-0.14
+0.14
Passing Yards
198
173
Comp/Att
17/29(59%)
13/16(81%)
Yards / Pass
6.8
10.8
EPA / Pass
-0.51
+0.57
Rushing Yards
132
174
Rush Attempts
25
33
Yards / Rush
5.3
5.3
EPA / Rush
+0.26
-0.13
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
15
Passing 1st downs
10
8
Rushing 1st downs
10
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
25%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
2
5
3rd Down Attempts
8
12
Red Zone %
100%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
0
Interceptions
4
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-21.81
--
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-10
-17
Sack EPA
-2.28
-4.23
Penalties
5
5
Penalty Yards
28
30
Penalty EPA
-4.25
-3.46
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-1.0
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model52.4%
Spread Pick
Seahawks+3.0
Expected Value
+8.7%
Cover Probability
53.5%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+25
Home nfelo
1,419
Away nfelo
1,579
Home Field
+117.8
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+33.5
Net QB Adjustment
+66.7
Home QB Adjustment
-0.3
Away QB Adjustment
-67.0
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-16.6
Model Spread
+1.0
Quarterbacks
V. Young
Proj. Value
-0.9
Team Elo Adj
-67.0
T. Jackson
Proj. Value
-2.1
Team Elo Adj
-0.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
7
Yards / Game
5
9
Passing Yards / Game
10
12
Rushing Yards / Game
5
15
EPA
EPA / Play
8
5
EPA / Pass
15
3
EPA / Rush
3
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
4
Interceptions / Game
31
3
Fumbles / Game
21
18
Turnover EPA / Game
3
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
10
4th Down Efficiency
10
30
RZ Efficiency
16
12
Seahawks Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
9
Yards / Game
28
8
Passing Yards / Game
23
15
Rushing Yards / Game
20
16
EPA
EPA / Play
25
12
EPA / Pass
20
10
EPA / Rush
27
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
21
Interceptions / Game
13
18
Fumbles / Game
17
4
Turnover EPA / Game
22
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
12
4th Down Efficiency
10
14
RZ Efficiency
21
27
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
5-5
O/U
Seahawks
4-6
SU
6-3-1
ATS
5-5
O/U