PHIEagles
10-3
17
TBD
Lumen Field
46°F
2 mph
20
SEASeahawks
6-7
TBD
Lumen Field
46°F
2 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
7
3
7
0
17
Seahawks
0
3
7
10
20
Spread
+5.5
Total
UNDER
46
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
321
297
Total Plays
69
59
Yards / Play
4.7
5.0
EPA / Play
+0.09
+0.13
Passing Yards
--
197
Comp/Att
17/31(55%)
22/33(67%)
Yards / Pass
--
6.0
EPA / Pass
+0.06
+0.10
Rushing Yards
178
100
Rush Attempts
38
24
Yards / Rush
4.7
4.2
EPA / Rush
+0.16
+0.00
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
16
Passing 1st downs
9
7
Rushing 1st downs
13
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
56%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
9
6
3rd Down Attempts
16
14
Red Zone %
67%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-4.04
--
Sacks
--
2
Sack Yards
--
-11
Sack EPA
--
-4.09
Penalties
5
5
Penalty Yards
40
35
Penalty EPA
-6.34
-3.87
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-4.5
Current
-5.5
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market68.5%
Model61.5%
Spread Pick
Seahawks+5.5
Expected Value
+16.1%
Cover Probability
60.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-33
Home nfelo
1,518
Away nfelo
1,611
Home Field
+85.5
Base HFA
+45.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+15.8
Time Adj
+24.4
Net QB Adjustment
-26.5
Home QB Adjustment
-15.0
Away QB Adjustment
+11.5
Market Regression
+5.3
Final Difference
-81.6
Model Spread
+3.0
Quarterbacks
J. Hurts
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+11.5
P. Lock
Proj. Value
-0.5
Team Elo Adj
-15.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
24
Yards / Game
9
30
Passing Yards / Game
10
22
Rushing Yards / Game
9
31
EPA
EPA / Play
7
29
EPA / Pass
10
27
EPA / Rush
6
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
23
Interceptions / Game
24
19
Fumbles / Game
25
13
Turnover EPA / Game
8
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
31
4th Down Efficiency
1
15
RZ Efficiency
9
25
Seahawks Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
30
Yards / Game
22
26
Passing Yards / Game
7
32
Rushing Yards / Game
27
11
EPA
EPA / Play
9
30
EPA / Pass
12
29
EPA / Rush
12
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
22
Interceptions / Game
15
26
Fumbles / Game
1
24
Turnover EPA / Game
31
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
30
4th Down Efficiency
30
25
RZ Efficiency
26
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
7-3
SU
5-4-1
ATS
5-5
O/U
Seahawks
4-6
SU
5-4-1
ATS
4-6
O/U