PHIEagles
1-2
29
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
70°F
4 mph
38
PITSteelers
3-0
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
70°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
7
7
8
7
29
Steelers
7
10
14
7
38
Spread
-7.5
Total
OVER
44
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
338
367
Total Plays
58
67
Yards / Play
5.8
5.5
EPA / Play
+0.11
+0.25
Passing Yards
244
231
Comp/Att
21/37(57%)
27/34(79%)
Yards / Pass
6.6
6.8
EPA / Pass
+0.17
+0.39
Rushing Yards
94
136
Rush Attempts
16
32
Yards / Rush
5.9
4.3
EPA / Rush
+0.12
+0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
25
Passing 1st downs
14
13
Rushing 1st downs
4
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
5
3rd Down %
71%
73%
3rd Down Conversions
10
11
3rd Down Attempts
14
15
Red Zone %
100%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-3.94
-3.15
Sacks
5
1
Sack Yards
-34
-8
Sack EPA
-5.93
-1.83
Penalties
9
8
Penalty Yards
84
86
Penalty EPA
-9.35
-8.39
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PITSteelersFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-7.5
Model
-6.0
Win Probability
Market74.4%
Model69.8%
Spread Pick
Eagles+7.5
Expected Value
+12.7%
Cover Probability
59.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+110
Home nfelo
1,563
Away nfelo
1,491
Home Field
+8.1
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
+1.8
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+30.0
Home QB Adjustment
+20.3
Away QB Adjustment
-9.7
Market Regression
+3.8
Final Difference
145.6
Model Spread
-6.0
Quarterbacks
C. Wentz
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
-9.7
B. Roethlisberger
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+20.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
5
Yards / Game
25
3
Passing Yards / Game
23
8
Rushing Yards / Game
10
13
EPA
EPA / Play
29
2
EPA / Pass
31
2
EPA / Rush
14
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
32
Interceptions / Game
31
4
Fumbles / Game
23
11
Turnover EPA / Game
5
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
6
4th Down Efficiency
26
1
RZ Efficiency
13
5
Steelers Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
20
Yards / Game
22
17
Passing Yards / Game
31
29
Rushing Yards / Game
32
22
EPA
EPA / Play
19
12
EPA / Pass
15
15
EPA / Rush
32
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
1
Interceptions / Game
25
29
Fumbles / Game
9
6
Turnover EPA / Game
17
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
8
4th Down Efficiency
11
3
RZ Efficiency
8
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
5-4-1
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U
Steelers
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
3-7
O/U