PHIEagles
4-2
28
TBD
U.S. Bank Stadium
70°F
022
MINVikings
3-2
TBD
U.S. Bank Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
7
1
7
7
22
Vikings
3
3
10
6
22
Spread
-2.5
Total
OVER
43.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
361
387
Total Plays
49
67
Yards / Play
7.4
5.8
EPA / Play
+0.09
-0.02
Passing Yards
316
298
Comp/Att
19/23(83%)
26/42(62%)
Yards / Pass
13.7
7.1
EPA / Pass
+0.82
-0.05
Rushing Yards
45
89
Rush Attempts
23
23
Yards / Rush
2.0
3.9
EPA / Rush
-0.31
-0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
21
Passing 1st downs
9
13
Rushing 1st downs
4
7
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
30%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
3
7
3rd Down Attempts
10
15
Red Zone %
0%
17%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-9.38
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-10
-15
Sack EPA
-2.62
-3.11
Penalties
8
3
Penalty Yards
64
--
Penalty EPA
-6.21
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-2.5
Model
-2.0
Win Probability
Market56.6%
Model54.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-3
Home nfelo
1,523
Away nfelo
1,580
Home Field
+59.5
Base HFA
+40.8
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
+11.7
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+14.3
Time Adj
-7.3
Net QB Adjustment
-4.8
Home QB Adjustment
-6.1
Away QB Adjustment
-1.2
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-29.7
Model Spread
+2.0
Quarterbacks
J. Hurts
Proj. Value
+1.6
Team Elo Adj
-1.2
C. Wentz
Proj. Value
-2.2
Team Elo Adj
-6.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
16
Yards / Game
25
10
Passing Yards / Game
23
21
Rushing Yards / Game
17
22
EPA
EPA / Play
18
6
EPA / Pass
12
9
EPA / Rush
22
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
3
Interceptions / Game
1
29
Fumbles / Game
6
5
Turnover EPA / Game
31
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
9
4th Down Efficiency
8
29
RZ Efficiency
1
4
Vikings Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
8
Yards / Game
27
18
Passing Yards / Game
18
22
Rushing Yards / Game
25
19
EPA
EPA / Play
28
9
EPA / Pass
30
6
EPA / Rush
24
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
11
Interceptions / Game
31
18
Fumbles / Game
10
19
Turnover EPA / Game
3
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
20
4th Down Efficiency
14
3
RZ Efficiency
16
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U
Vikings
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U