ATLFalcons
3-11
30
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
53°F
12 mph
28
TBBuccaneers
7-7
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
53°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
10
11
3
0
24
Buccaneers
0
7
0
21
28
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
267
442
Total Plays
57
72
Yards / Play
4.7
6.1
EPA / Play
+0.16
+0.05
Passing Yards
--
--
Comp/Att
8/15(53%)
34/50(68%)
Yards / Pass
--
--
EPA / Pass
+0.49
+0.08
Rushing Yards
148
94
Rush Attempts
42
22
Yards / Rush
3.5
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.09
-0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
25
Passing 1st downs
7
17
Rushing 1st downs
8
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
38%
62%
3rd Down Conversions
5
8
3rd Down Attempts
13
13
Red Zone %
33%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
6
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
4
Interceptions
0
4
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-4.79
-19.33
Sacks
--
--
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
--
--
Penalties
4
7
Penalty Yards
30
46
Penalty EPA
-2.46
-14.53
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
3
Yards / Game
29
4
Passing Yards / Game
23
4
Rushing Yards / Game
14
14
EPA
EPA / Play
30
4
EPA / Pass
32
5
EPA / Rush
5
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
28
Interceptions / Game
28
9
Fumbles / Game
5
8
Turnover EPA / Game
6
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
5
4th Down Efficiency
9
8
RZ Efficiency
13
2
Buccaneers Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
30
Yards / Game
9
32
Passing Yards / Game
21
25
Rushing Yards / Game
24
29
EPA
EPA / Play
19
22
EPA / Pass
10
29
EPA / Rush
25
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
18
Interceptions / Game
29
15
Fumbles / Game
9
2
Turnover EPA / Game
11
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
22
4th Down Efficiency
13
4
RZ Efficiency
9
24
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Buccaneers
5-5
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U