ATLFalcons
3-10
7
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
038
INDColts
10-3
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
0
0
7
0
7
Colts
14
10
14
0
38
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
154
465
Total Plays
55
64
Yards / Play
2.8
7.3
EPA / Play
-0.29
+0.23
Passing Yards
29
287
Comp/Att
9/25(36%)
26/31(84%)
Yards / Pass
1.2
9.3
EPA / Pass
-1.14
+0.55
Rushing Yards
125
178
Rush Attempts
26
31
Yards / Rush
4.8
5.7
EPA / Rush
+0.22
-0.07
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
12
27
Passing 1st downs
4
18
Rushing 1st downs
7
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
9%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
1
6
3rd Down Attempts
11
12
Red Zone %
100%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
4
Red Zone Attempts
1
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-9.23
-8.54
Sacks
4
2
Sack Yards
-37
-12
Sack EPA
-10.06
-3.40
Penalties
6
9
Penalty Yards
80
63
Penalty EPA
-4.29
-7.64
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
19
Yards / Game
29
13
Passing Yards / Game
23
1
Rushing Yards / Game
14
20
EPA
EPA / Play
30
29
EPA / Pass
32
18
EPA / Rush
5
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
29
Interceptions / Game
28
13
Fumbles / Game
5
3
Turnover EPA / Game
6
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
16
4th Down Efficiency
9
31
RZ Efficiency
13
27
Colts Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
30
Yards / Game
2
32
Passing Yards / Game
6
25
Rushing Yards / Game
19
29
EPA
EPA / Play
2
22
EPA / Pass
1
29
EPA / Rush
13
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
18
Interceptions / Game
4
15
Fumbles / Game
12
2
Turnover EPA / Game
31
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
22
4th Down Efficiency
12
4
RZ Efficiency
10
24
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Colts
7-3
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U