ATLFalcons
5-2
14
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
030
DETLions
1-6
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
7
7
0
0
14
Lions
10
7
3
10
30
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
319
435
Total Plays
60
62
Yards / Play
5.3
7.0
EPA / Play
-0.23
+0.05
Passing Yards
154
308
Comp/Att
17/32(53%)
20/32(63%)
Yards / Pass
4.8
9.6
EPA / Pass
-0.41
+0.13
Rushing Yards
165
127
Rush Attempts
26
27
Yards / Rush
6.3
4.7
EPA / Rush
+0.21
+0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
20
Passing 1st downs
9
15
Rushing 1st downs
9
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
27%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
3
6
3rd Down Attempts
11
12
Red Zone %
67%
17%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-10.61
-4.92
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-9
-13
Sack EPA
-4.94
-3.05
Penalties
9
10
Penalty Yards
76
71
Penalty EPA
-10.58
-7.10
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
30
Yards / Game
12
28
Passing Yards / Game
26
8
Rushing Yards / Game
1
21
EPA
EPA / Play
22
24
EPA / Pass
27
30
EPA / Rush
3
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
2
Interceptions / Game
13
25
Fumbles / Game
1
4
Turnover EPA / Game
31
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
27
4th Down Efficiency
25
32
RZ Efficiency
26
20
Lions Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
14
Yards / Game
22
20
Passing Yards / Game
1
32
Rushing Yards / Game
32
10
EPA
EPA / Play
26
14
EPA / Pass
21
25
EPA / Rush
30
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
6
Interceptions / Game
28
25
Fumbles / Game
31
17
Turnover EPA / Game
2
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
23
4th Down Efficiency
24
8
RZ Efficiency
30
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
5-5
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Lions
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U