ATLFalcons
3-10
17
TBD
Nissan Stadium
46°F
3 mph
30
TENTitans
10-3
TBD
Nissan Stadium
46°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
7
7
3
0
17
Titans
14
6
0
10
30
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
347
399
Total Plays
63
60
Yards / Play
5.5
6.7
EPA / Play
-0.07
+0.11
Passing Yards
291
268
Comp/Att
24/43(56%)
16/30(53%)
Yards / Pass
6.8
8.9
EPA / Pass
+0.14
+0.27
Rushing Yards
56
131
Rush Attempts
19
28
Yards / Rush
2.9
4.7
EPA / Rush
-0.81
-0.10
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
14
Passing 1st downs
17
9
Rushing 1st downs
3
5
Penalty 1st downs
4
--
3rd Down %
30%
21%
3rd Down Conversions
3
3
3rd Down Attempts
10
14
Red Zone %
67%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
6
0
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
3
0
Turnover EPA
-16.12
--
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-19
-9
Sack EPA
-3.08
-2.05
Penalties
5
14
Penalty Yards
--
90
Penalty EPA
--
-8.42
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
10
Yards / Game
27
17
Passing Yards / Game
21
17
Rushing Yards / Game
30
8
EPA
EPA / Play
26
18
EPA / Pass
19
24
EPA / Rush
30
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
29
Interceptions / Game
20
22
Fumbles / Game
23
3
Turnover EPA / Game
8
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
14
4th Down Efficiency
20
2
RZ Efficiency
12
19
Titans Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
25
Yards / Game
16
16
Passing Yards / Game
28
10
Rushing Yards / Game
10
29
EPA
EPA / Play
6
25
EPA / Pass
12
26
EPA / Rush
6
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
6
Interceptions / Game
1
28
Fumbles / Game
20
29
Turnover EPA / Game
29
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
22
4th Down Efficiency
5
13
RZ Efficiency
3
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Titans
7-3
SU
4-4-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U