nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. giants @ 49ers week 6, 2012

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

NYG logo
NYGGiants
3-2
26
TBD
Candlestick Park
61°F
7 mph
3
SF49ers
4-1
SF logo
TBD
Candlestick Park
61°F
7 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
10
13
3
26
49ers
3
0
0
0
3

Spread

NYG logo
+7

Total

UNDER
46.5

Game Statistics

General
Giants logo
49ers logo
Total Yards
342
314
Total Plays
65
60
Yards / Play
5.3
5.2
EPA / Play
+0.13
-0.33
Passing Yards
--
234
Comp/Att
15/28(54%)
23/37(62%)
Yards / Pass
--
6.3
EPA / Pass
+0.16
-0.41
Rushing Yards
149
80
Rush Attempts
37
17
Yards / Rush
4.0
4.7
EPA / Rush
-0.02
-0.02
Downs & Conversions
Giants logo
49ers logo
1st Downs
19
14
Passing 1st downs
10
10
Rushing 1st downs
8
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
33%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
5
4
3rd Down Attempts
15
14
Red Zone %
33%
NaN%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
6
--
Negative Plays
Giants logo
49ers logo
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-11.61
Sacks
--
6
Sack Yards
--
-48
Sack EPA
--
-10.19
Penalties
2
6
Penalty Yards
20
35
Penalty EPA
-2.01
-5.27

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
SF logo
SF49ersFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-7.0
Model
-7.0

Win Probability

Market72.8%
Model72.8%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+179
Home nfelo
1,651
Away nfelo
1,576
Home Field
+106.7
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
-2.7
Home QB Adjustment
+15.4
Away QB Adjustment
+18.1
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
171.0
Model Spread
-7.0

Quarterbacks

E. Manning headshot

E. Manning

Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+18.1
Value
Ptile
01/01
8.3
94
01/08
8.2
94
01/15
5.2
82
01/22
-1.1
44
02/05
3.6
74
09/05
-0.9
43
09/16
6.1
87
09/20
5.1
81
09/30
4.4
78
10/07
5.1
82
A. Smith headshot

A. Smith

Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
+15.4
Value
Ptile
12/19
2.8
71
12/24
-1.5
39
01/01
1.9
66
01/14
5.7
85
01/22
0.1
53
09/09
0.9
56
09/16
0.5
53
09/23
-1.5
39
09/30
-2.9
31
10/07
11.7
98

Team Matchup Ranks

Giants Offense vs 49ers Defense
Giants logo
49ers logo

Total

Points / Game
5
3
Yards / Game
16
4
Passing Yards / Game
32
14
Rushing Yards / Game
14
3

EPA

EPA / Play
3
8
EPA / Pass
12
10
EPA / Rush
7
9

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
10
12
Interceptions / Game
14
19
Fumbles / Game
13
14
Turnover EPA / Game
24
15

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
11
6
4th Down Efficiency
17
19
RZ Efficiency
13
27
49ers Offense vs Giants Defense
49ers logo
Giants logo

Total

Points / Game
7
10
Yards / Game
5
31
Passing Yards / Game
21
13
Rushing Yards / Game
2
24

EPA

EPA / Play
5
20
EPA / Pass
7
22
EPA / Rush
1
17

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
15
32
Interceptions / Game
2
3
Fumbles / Game
15
12
Turnover EPA / Game
29
30

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
24
30
4th Down Efficiency
8
17
RZ Efficiency
16
4

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

NYG logo

Giants

8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
3-7
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
01/01
17
W
W
U
01/08
22
W
W
U
01/15
17
W
W
O
01/22
3
W
W
U
02/05
4
W
W
U
09/05
-7
L
L
U
09/16
7
W
L
O
09/20
29
W
W
U
09/30
-2
L
L
U
10/07
14
W
W
O
SF logo

49ers

8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
4-5-1
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/19
17
W
W
U
12/24
2
W
W
U
01/01
7
W
L
O
01/14
4
W
W
O
01/22
-3
L
L
U
09/09
8
W
W
O
09/16
8
W
W
P
09/23
-11
L
L
U
09/30
34
W
W
U
10/07
42
W
W
O