NYGGiants
2-4
32
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
72°F
3 mph
33
DENBroncos
4-2
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
72°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
7
6
6
13
32
Broncos
0
0
0
33
33
Spread
+8
Total
OVER
40.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
387
411
Total Plays
70
78
Yards / Play
5.5
5.3
EPA / Play
+0.19
+0.14
Passing Yards
268
269
Comp/Att
15/34(44%)
27/52(52%)
Yards / Pass
7.9
5.2
EPA / Pass
+0.25
-0.03
Rushing Yards
119
142
Rush Attempts
32
24
Yards / Rush
3.7
5.9
EPA / Rush
+0.01
+0.35
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
25
Passing 1st downs
12
15
Rushing 1st downs
7
8
Penalty 1st downs
6
2
3rd Down %
40%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
15
13
Red Zone %
100%
80%
Red Zone Conversions
2
4
Red Zone Attempts
2
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-4.60
--
Sacks
4
2
Sack Yards
-15
-14
Sack EPA
-4.42
-1.78
Penalties
8
11
Penalty Yards
36
89
Penalty EPA
-6.19
-16.23
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-8.0
Model
-9.5
Win Probability
Market75.7%
Model78.7%
Spread Pick
Broncos-8.0
Expected Value
+6.9%
Cover Probability
54.3%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+259
Home nfelo
1,557
Away nfelo
1,409
Home Field
+69.7
Base HFA
+40.8
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+14.3
Time Adj
+14.6
Net QB Adjustment
+41.4
Home QB Adjustment
+8.2
Away QB Adjustment
-33.2
Market Regression
+7.4
Final Difference
226.8
Model Spread
-9.5
Quarterbacks
J. Dart
Proj. Value
-0.0
Team Elo Adj
-33.2
Value
Ptile
B. Nix
Proj. Value
+0.9
Team Elo Adj
+8.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
3
Yards / Game
15
3
Passing Yards / Game
9
16
Rushing Yards / Game
10
4
EPA
EPA / Play
13
4
EPA / Pass
20
2
EPA / Rush
9
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
31
Interceptions / Game
14
22
Fumbles / Game
15
17
Turnover EPA / Game
18
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
1
4th Down Efficiency
19
5
RZ Efficiency
27
1
Broncos Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
29
Yards / Game
13
29
Passing Yards / Game
27
15
Rushing Yards / Game
11
30
EPA
EPA / Play
20
29
EPA / Pass
13
22
EPA / Rush
14
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
8
Interceptions / Game
21
28
Fumbles / Game
2
28
Turnover EPA / Game
24
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
18
4th Down Efficiency
20
25
RZ Efficiency
15
32
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U
Broncos
5-5
SU
3-7
ATS
3-7
O/U