nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. giants @ cowboys week 1, 2015

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

NYG logo
NYGGiants
-
26
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0
27
DALCowboys
-
DAL logo
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
3
4
3
10
20
Cowboys
3
3
7
14
27

Spread

NYG logo
+7

Total

OVER
52

Game Statistics

General
Giants logo
Cowboys logo
Total Yards
285
436
Total Plays
61
68
Yards / Play
4.7
6.4
EPA / Play
+0.06
+0.02
Passing Yards
186
--
Comp/Att
20/36(56%)
36/45(80%)
Yards / Pass
5.2
--
EPA / Pass
-0.00
-0.01
Rushing Yards
99
80
Rush Attempts
24
23
Yards / Rush
4.1
3.5
EPA / Rush
+0.12
-0.11
Downs & Conversions
Giants logo
Cowboys logo
1st Downs
18
27
Passing 1st downs
10
21
Rushing 1st downs
6
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
43%
55%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
11
Red Zone %
25%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
5
Negative Plays
Giants logo
Cowboys logo
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-18.17
Sacks
1
--
Sack Yards
-3
--
Sack EPA
-1.07
--
Penalties
5
3
Penalty Yards
44
35
Penalty EPA
-1.74
-3.35

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
DAL logo
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-5.0
Current
-7.0
Model
-7.0

Win Probability

Market72.8%
Model72.8%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+134
Home nfelo
1,560
Away nfelo
1,469
Home Field
+45.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-2.8
Home QB Adjustment
+8.4
Away QB Adjustment
+11.2
Market Regression
+47.2
Final Difference
171.0
Model Spread
-7.0

Quarterbacks

E. Manning headshot

E. Manning

Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+11.2
Value
Ptile
10/19
5.9
86
11/03
2.3
68
11/09
0.6
54
11/16
-10.4
2
11/23
5.4
84
11/30
-0.6
46
12/07
0.7
54
12/14
4.3
79
12/21
10.4
97
12/28
3.1
72
A. Romo headshot

A. Romo

Proj. Value
+0.0
Team Elo Adj
+8.4
Value
Ptile
10/27
-5.1
19
11/09
5.9
85
11/23
5.9
85
11/27
-8.7
7
12/04
4.0
77
12/14
3.3
73
12/21
9.9
96
12/28
2.3
67
01/04
-1.8
37
01/11
0.4
52

Team Matchup Ranks

Giants Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Giants logo
Cowboys logo

Total

Points / Game
4
16
Yards / Game
6
16
Passing Yards / Game
29
14
Rushing Yards / Game
18
22

EPA

EPA / Play
7
26
EPA / Pass
10
21
EPA / Rush
21
30

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
3
21
Interceptions / Game
17
30
Fumbles / Game
9
32
Turnover EPA / Game
14
1

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
20
17
4th Down Efficiency
8
17
RZ Efficiency
29
8
Cowboys Offense vs Giants Defense
Cowboys logo
Giants logo

Total

Points / Game
31
30
Yards / Game
23
32
Passing Yards / Game
27
13
Rushing Yards / Game
8
24

EPA

EPA / Play
25
31
EPA / Pass
31
25
EPA / Rush
5
27

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
6
28
Interceptions / Game
32
10
Fumbles / Game
21
9
Turnover EPA / Game
1
30

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
26
32
4th Down Efficiency
15
22
RZ Efficiency
29
12

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

NYG logo

Giants

3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
7-3
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/19
-10
L
L
O
11/03
-16
L
L
O
11/09
-21
L
L
O
11/16
-6
L
L
U
11/23
-3
L
W
O
11/30
-1
L
L
O
12/07
29
W
W
U
12/14
11
W
W
U
12/21
10
W
W
O
12/28
-8
L
L
O
DAL logo

Cowboys

7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
5-4-1
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/02
-11
L
L
P
11/09
14
W
W
O
11/23
3
W
L
O
11/27
-23
L
L
U
12/04
13
W
W
O
12/14
11
W
W
O
12/21
35
W
W
U
12/28
27
W
W
O
01/04
4
W
L
U
01/11
-5
L
W
U