NYGGiants
-
26
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
027
DALCowboys
-
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
3
4
3
10
20
Cowboys
3
3
7
14
27
Spread
+7
Total
OVER
52
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
285
436
Total Plays
61
68
Yards / Play
4.7
6.4
EPA / Play
+0.06
+0.02
Passing Yards
186
--
Comp/Att
20/36(56%)
36/45(80%)
Yards / Pass
5.2
--
EPA / Pass
-0.00
-0.01
Rushing Yards
99
80
Rush Attempts
24
23
Yards / Rush
4.1
3.5
EPA / Rush
+0.12
-0.11
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
27
Passing 1st downs
10
21
Rushing 1st downs
6
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
43%
55%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
11
Red Zone %
25%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-18.17
Sacks
1
--
Sack Yards
-3
--
Sack EPA
-1.07
--
Penalties
5
3
Penalty Yards
44
35
Penalty EPA
-1.74
-3.35
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-5.0
Current
-7.0
Model
-7.0
Win Probability
Market72.8%
Model72.8%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+134
Home nfelo
1,560
Away nfelo
1,469
Home Field
+45.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-2.8
Home QB Adjustment
+8.4
Away QB Adjustment
+11.2
Market Regression
+47.2
Final Difference
171.0
Model Spread
-7.0
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+11.2
A. Romo
Proj. Value
+0.0
Team Elo Adj
+8.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
16
Yards / Game
6
16
Passing Yards / Game
29
14
Rushing Yards / Game
18
22
EPA
EPA / Play
7
26
EPA / Pass
10
21
EPA / Rush
21
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
21
Interceptions / Game
17
30
Fumbles / Game
9
32
Turnover EPA / Game
14
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
17
4th Down Efficiency
8
17
RZ Efficiency
29
8
Cowboys Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
30
Yards / Game
23
32
Passing Yards / Game
27
13
Rushing Yards / Game
8
24
EPA
EPA / Play
25
31
EPA / Pass
31
25
EPA / Rush
5
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
28
Interceptions / Game
32
10
Fumbles / Game
21
9
Turnover EPA / Game
1
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
32
4th Down Efficiency
15
22
RZ Efficiency
29
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
7-3
O/U
Cowboys
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
5-4-1
O/U