NYGGiants
0-1
13
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
020
DALCowboys
0-1
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
0
3
10
13
Cowboys
10
0
3
7
20
Spread
-3
Total
UNDER
42
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
255
298
Total Plays
67
50
Yards / Play
3.8
6.0
EPA / Play
-0.12
-0.01
Passing Yards
220
--
Comp/Att
33/44(75%)
16/25(64%)
Yards / Pass
5.0
--
EPA / Pass
-0.16
-0.09
Rushing Yards
35
138
Rush Attempts
17
25
Yards / Rush
2.1
5.5
EPA / Rush
+0.00
+0.30
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
16
Passing 1st downs
11
6
Rushing 1st downs
6
9
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
47%
30%
3rd Down Conversions
8
3
3rd Down Attempts
17
10
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-5.98
--
Sacks
6
--
Sack Yards
-59
--
Sack EPA
-13.90
--
Penalties
3
6
Penalty Yards
24
47
Penalty EPA
-3.39
-5.81
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-5.5
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model68.3%
Spread Pick
Cowboys-3.0
Expected Value
+10.5%
Cover Probability
54.3%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+188
Home nfelo
1,553
Away nfelo
1,404
Home Field
+41.2
Base HFA
+56.6
Divisional Adj
-25.6
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+10.1
Net QB Adjustment
-2.6
Home QB Adjustment
-11.4
Away QB Adjustment
-8.8
Market Regression
-9.7
Final Difference
133.4
Model Spread
-5.5
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
-8.8
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+0.6
Team Elo Adj
-11.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
7
Yards / Game
16
8
Passing Yards / Game
8
16
Rushing Yards / Game
24
8
EPA
EPA / Play
13
12
EPA / Pass
15
19
EPA / Rush
11
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
7
Interceptions / Game
14
27
Fumbles / Game
3
12
Turnover EPA / Game
22
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
24
4th Down Efficiency
10
16
RZ Efficiency
29
7
Cowboys Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
23
Yards / Game
22
24
Passing Yards / Game
15
18
Rushing Yards / Game
10
21
EPA
EPA / Play
19
28
EPA / Pass
17
26
EPA / Rush
7
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
10
Interceptions / Game
4
7
Fumbles / Game
13
19
Turnover EPA / Game
25
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
27
4th Down Efficiency
10
32
RZ Efficiency
26
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
3-7
O/U
Cowboys
5-5
SU
4-5-1
ATS
1-9
O/U