NYGGiants
7-3
20
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
028
DALCowboys
7-3
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
3
10
0
7
20
Cowboys
0
7
14
7
28
Spread
-7
Total
OVER
45.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
300
430
Total Plays
59
69
Yards / Play
5.1
6.2
EPA / Play
-0.03
+0.10
Passing Yards
210
--
Comp/Att
21/35(60%)
21/30(70%)
Yards / Pass
6.0
--
EPA / Pass
-0.13
+0.39
Rushing Yards
90
169
Rush Attempts
21
39
Yards / Rush
4.3
4.3
EPA / Rush
+0.02
-0.07
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
26
Passing 1st downs
11
13
Rushing 1st downs
6
10
Penalty 1st downs
4
3
3rd Down %
27%
64%
3rd Down Conversions
3
7
3rd Down Attempts
11
11
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
4
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-7.32
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-18
--
Sack EPA
-4.53
--
Penalties
7
13
Penalty Yards
66
86
Penalty EPA
-9.03
-10.13
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-7.0
Model
-9.0
Win Probability
Market72.8%
Model78.0%
Spread Pick
Cowboys-7.0
Expected Value
+12.4%
Cover Probability
55.3%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+261
Home nfelo
1,610
Away nfelo
1,387
Home Field
+29.3
Base HFA
+40.2
Divisional Adj
-18.1
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+7.2
Net QB Adjustment
+7.3
Home QB Adjustment
+21.5
Away QB Adjustment
+14.2
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
220.2
Model Spread
-9.0
Quarterbacks
D. Jones
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
+14.2
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+0.6
Team Elo Adj
+21.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
6
Yards / Game
19
13
Passing Yards / Game
25
15
Rushing Yards / Game
6
22
EPA
EPA / Play
8
3
EPA / Pass
17
4
EPA / Rush
3
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
29
Interceptions / Game
1
10
Fumbles / Game
10
1
Turnover EPA / Game
32
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
18
4th Down Efficiency
16
17
RZ Efficiency
5
5
Cowboys Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
22
Yards / Game
10
25
Passing Yards / Game
23
2
Rushing Yards / Game
9
28
EPA
EPA / Play
9
31
EPA / Pass
9
21
EPA / Rush
12
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
5
Interceptions / Game
30
32
Fumbles / Game
3
3
Turnover EPA / Game
20
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
5
4th Down Efficiency
5
29
RZ Efficiency
1
10
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
3-7
O/U
Cowboys
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
4-6
O/U