NYGGiants
2-5
20
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
60°F
4 mph
38
PHIEagles
5-2
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
60°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
7
3
3
7
20
Eagles
7
14
3
14
38
Spread
-7.5
Total
OVER
43.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
246
427
Total Plays
50
57
Yards / Play
4.9
7.5
EPA / Play
+0.14
+0.43
Passing Yards
178
151
Comp/Att
14/24(58%)
15/20(75%)
Yards / Pass
7.4
7.5
EPA / Pass
+0.14
+0.40
Rushing Yards
68
276
Rush Attempts
21
33
Yards / Rush
3.2
8.4
EPA / Rush
+0.05
+0.39
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
23
Passing 1st downs
9
10
Rushing 1st downs
4
12
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
42%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
5
2
3rd Down Attempts
12
8
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
5
4
Sack Yards
-15
-28
Sack EPA
-5.31
-5.95
Penalties
7
5
Penalty Yards
54
30
Penalty EPA
-6.63
-4.59
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-7.5
Model
-8.5
Win Probability
Market74.4%
Model76.3%
Spread Pick
Eagles-7.5
Expected Value
+2.3%
Cover Probability
53.6%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+232
Home nfelo
1,601
Away nfelo
1,439
Home Field
+37.0
Base HFA
+41.2
Divisional Adj
-18.6
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+14.4
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+32.6
Home QB Adjustment
+3.2
Away QB Adjustment
-29.4
Market Regression
+3.1
Final Difference
203.0
Model Spread
-8.5
Quarterbacks
J. Dart
Proj. Value
-0.0
Team Elo Adj
-29.4
J. Hurts
Proj. Value
+1.4
Team Elo Adj
+3.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
8
Yards / Game
15
17
Passing Yards / Game
9
21
Rushing Yards / Game
10
19
EPA
EPA / Play
13
9
EPA / Pass
20
6
EPA / Rush
9
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
11
Interceptions / Game
14
17
Fumbles / Game
15
19
Turnover EPA / Game
18
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
20
4th Down Efficiency
19
3
RZ Efficiency
27
3
Eagles Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
29
Yards / Game
25
29
Passing Yards / Game
23
15
Rushing Yards / Game
17
30
EPA
EPA / Play
18
29
EPA / Pass
12
22
EPA / Rush
22
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
8
Interceptions / Game
1
28
Fumbles / Game
6
28
Turnover EPA / Game
31
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
18
4th Down Efficiency
8
25
RZ Efficiency
1
32
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U
Eagles
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
7-3
O/U