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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. giants @ eagles week 8, 2025

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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NYG logo
NYGGiants
2-5
20
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
60°F
4 mph
38
PHIEagles
5-2
PHI logo
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
60°F
4 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
7
3
3
7
20
Eagles
7
14
3
14
38

Spread

PHI logo
-7.5

Total

OVER
43.5

Game Statistics

General
Giants logo
Eagles logo
Total Yards
246
427
Total Plays
50
57
Yards / Play
4.9
7.5
EPA / Play
+0.14
+0.43
Passing Yards
178
151
Comp/Att
14/24(58%)
15/20(75%)
Yards / Pass
7.4
7.5
EPA / Pass
+0.14
+0.40
Rushing Yards
68
276
Rush Attempts
21
33
Yards / Rush
3.2
8.4
EPA / Rush
+0.05
+0.39
Downs & Conversions
Giants logo
Eagles logo
1st Downs
13
23
Passing 1st downs
9
10
Rushing 1st downs
4
12
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
42%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
5
2
3rd Down Attempts
12
8
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Giants logo
Eagles logo
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
5
4
Sack Yards
-15
-28
Sack EPA
-5.31
-5.95
Penalties
7
5
Penalty Yards
54
30
Penalty EPA
-6.63
-4.59

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
PHI logo
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-7.5
Model
-8.5

Win Probability

Market74.4%
Model76.3%
Spread Pick
PHI logo
Eagles-7.5
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+2.3%
Cover Probability
53.6%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+231
Home nfelo
1,599
Away nfelo
1,437
Home Field
+37.0
Base HFA
+41.2
Divisional Adj
-18.6
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+14.4
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+32.6
Home QB Adjustment
+3.2
Away QB Adjustment
-29.4
Market Regression
+3.2
Final Difference
202.7
Model Spread
-8.5

Quarterbacks

J. Dart headshot

J. Dart

Proj. Value
-0.3
Team Elo Adj
-29.4
Value
Ptile
09/28
-1.6
38
10/05
1.2
60
10/09
4.4
80
10/19
0.7
56
J. Hurts headshot

J. Hurts

Proj. Value
+1.1
Team Elo Adj
+3.2
Value
Ptile
01/19
-2.4
32
01/26
7.5
92
02/09
6.3
85
09/04
6.5
90
09/14
-3.1
28
09/21
4.9
84
09/28
0.5
55
10/05
-1.6
38
10/09
1.1
59
10/19
4.8
82

Team Matchup Ranks

Giants Offense vs Eagles Defense
Giants logo
Eagles logo

Total

Points / Game
19
3
Yards / Game
13
13
Passing Yards / Game
6
16
Rushing Yards / Game
5
21

EPA

EPA / Play
17
7
EPA / Pass
20
4
EPA / Rush
6
18

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
16
21
Interceptions / Game
11
15
Fumbles / Game
11
14
Turnover EPA / Game
23
21

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
14
18
4th Down Efficiency
25
4
RZ Efficiency
28
8
Eagles Offense vs Giants Defense
Eagles logo
Giants logo

Total

Points / Game
18
25
Yards / Game
24
29
Passing Yards / Game
19
14
Rushing Yards / Game
16
30

EPA

EPA / Play
20
27
EPA / Pass
13
17
EPA / Rush
17
32

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
23
10
Interceptions / Game
1
24
Fumbles / Game
16
22
Turnover EPA / Game
24
11

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
23
13
4th Down Efficiency
9
29
RZ Efficiency
1
26

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

NYG logo

Giants

3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/22
-27
L
L
U
12/29
12
W
W
O
01/05
-7
L
L
U
09/07
-15
L
L
U
09/14
-3
L
W
O
09/21
-13
L
L
U
09/28
3
W
W
U
10/05
-12
L
L
U
10/09
17
W
W
O
10/19
-1
L
W
O
PHI logo

Eagles

8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
7-3
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
01/19
6
W
L
O
01/26
32
W
W
O
02/09
18
W
W
O
09/04
4
W
L
U
09/14
3
W
W
U
09/21
7
W
W
O
09/28
6
W
W
O
10/05
-4
L
L
U
10/09
-17
L
L
O
10/19
6
W
W
O