NYGGiants
3-7
22
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
56°F
10 mph
25
PHIEagles
4-6
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
56°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
9
10
0
3
22
Eagles
0
11
3
11
25
Spread
+5
Total
UNDER
49
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
402
345
Total Plays
58
62
Yards / Play
6.9
5.6
EPA / Play
+0.19
+0.16
Passing Yards
276
214
Comp/Att
26/38(68%)
20/28(71%)
Yards / Pass
7.3
7.6
EPA / Pass
+0.22
+0.32
Rushing Yards
126
131
Rush Attempts
18
31
Yards / Rush
7.0
4.2
EPA / Rush
+0.12
-0.00
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
19
Passing 1st downs
14
11
Rushing 1st downs
4
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
42%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
5
3
3rd Down Attempts
12
11
Red Zone %
33%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-2.50
--
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-21
-22
Sack EPA
-3.61
-5.22
Penalties
11
7
Penalty Yards
91
46
Penalty EPA
-9.58
-5.01
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-5.5
Current
-5.0
Model
-5.5
Win Probability
Market67.1%
Model68.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+171
Home nfelo
1,521
Away nfelo
1,430
Home Field
+51.4
Base HFA
+57.3
Divisional Adj
-25.8
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.0
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+29.2
Home QB Adjustment
+30.0
Away QB Adjustment
+0.8
Market Regression
+2.5
Final Difference
133.5
Model Spread
-5.5
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+0.8
C. Wentz
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
+30.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
9
Yards / Game
16
23
Passing Yards / Game
8
29
Rushing Yards / Game
24
6
EPA
EPA / Play
13
22
EPA / Pass
15
22
EPA / Rush
11
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
22
Interceptions / Game
14
25
Fumbles / Game
3
25
Turnover EPA / Game
22
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
8
4th Down Efficiency
10
20
RZ Efficiency
29
1
Eagles Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
23
Yards / Game
17
24
Passing Yards / Game
11
18
Rushing Yards / Game
30
21
EPA
EPA / Play
11
28
EPA / Pass
11
26
EPA / Rush
22
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
10
Interceptions / Game
21
7
Fumbles / Game
24
19
Turnover EPA / Game
12
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
27
4th Down Efficiency
16
32
RZ Efficiency
17
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
3-7
SU
4-5-1
ATS
5-5
O/U
Eagles
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
4-6
O/U