NYGGiants
1-1
36
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
75°F
3 mph
7
CARPanthers
1-1
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
75°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
10
10
6
10
36
Panthers
0
0
7
0
7
Spread
+3
Total
UNDER
49
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
405
327
Total Plays
68
55
Yards / Play
6.0
5.9
EPA / Play
+0.37
-0.19
Passing Yards
280
267
Comp/Att
28/37(76%)
19/33(58%)
Yards / Pass
7.6
8.1
EPA / Pass
+0.37
-0.20
Rushing Yards
125
60
Rush Attempts
29
20
Yards / Rush
4.3
3.0
EPA / Rush
+0.14
+0.00
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
22
Passing 1st downs
15
14
Rushing 1st downs
8
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
4
3rd Down %
50%
44%
3rd Down Conversions
7
4
3rd Down Attempts
14
9
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
6
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
4
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
+5.11
-16.71
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-12
-21
Sack EPA
-3.28
-3.95
Penalties
5
3
Penalty Yards
38
22
Penalty EPA
-4.30
-3.07
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CARPanthersFavored
Opening
+1.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model59.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+23
Home nfelo
1,498
Away nfelo
1,562
Home Field
+84.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+3.2
Home QB Adjustment
+14.4
Away QB Adjustment
+11.2
Market Regression
+66.5
Final Difference
65.4
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+11.2
C. Newton
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
+14.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
18
Yards / Game
16
10
Passing Yards / Game
32
21
Rushing Yards / Game
14
13
EPA
EPA / Play
3
22
EPA / Pass
12
16
EPA / Rush
7
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
15
Interceptions / Game
14
23
Fumbles / Game
13
3
Turnover EPA / Game
24
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
7
4th Down Efficiency
17
20
RZ Efficiency
13
18
Panthers Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
10
Yards / Game
13
31
Passing Yards / Game
11
13
Rushing Yards / Game
9
24
EPA
EPA / Play
12
20
EPA / Pass
11
22
EPA / Rush
6
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
32
Interceptions / Game
7
3
Fumbles / Game
7
12
Turnover EPA / Game
25
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
30
4th Down Efficiency
27
17
RZ Efficiency
10
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
3-7
O/U
Panthers
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U