NYGGiants
1-3
31
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
80°F
3 mph
33
CARPanthers
2-1
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
80°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
3
10
3
15
31
Panthers
7
13
0
13
33
Spread
+6.5
Total
OVER
43.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
434
350
Total Plays
55
67
Yards / Play
7.9
5.2
EPA / Play
+0.13
+0.15
Passing Yards
384
232
Comp/Att
23/38(61%)
21/35(60%)
Yards / Pass
10.1
6.6
EPA / Pass
+0.24
-0.06
Rushing Yards
50
118
Rush Attempts
16
31
Yards / Rush
3.1
3.8
EPA / Rush
-0.28
-0.18
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
20
Passing 1st downs
15
12
Rushing 1st downs
3
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
0%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
--
4
3rd Down Attempts
7
13
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-9.80
-2.79
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-1
-5
Sack EPA
-0.85
-1.39
Penalties
7
4
Penalty Yards
57
--
Penalty EPA
-9.84
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CARPanthersFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-6.5
Model
-7.5
Win Probability
Market71.0%
Model74.7%
Spread Pick
Panthers-6.5
Expected Value
+12.3%
Cover Probability
58.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+224
Home nfelo
1,526
Away nfelo
1,410
Home Field
+92.7
Base HFA
+56.7
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
+16.3
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+19.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+15.3
Home QB Adjustment
+18.2
Away QB Adjustment
+2.8
Market Regression
+42.5
Final Difference
188.3
Model Spread
-7.5
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+2.8
C. Newton
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
+18.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
20
Yards / Game
16
16
Passing Yards / Game
8
23
Rushing Yards / Game
24
12
EPA
EPA / Play
13
27
EPA / Pass
15
27
EPA / Rush
11
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
26
Interceptions / Game
14
16
Fumbles / Game
3
10
Turnover EPA / Game
22
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
20
4th Down Efficiency
10
18
RZ Efficiency
29
28
Panthers Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
23
Yards / Game
9
24
Passing Yards / Game
17
18
Rushing Yards / Game
4
21
EPA
EPA / Play
9
28
EPA / Pass
14
26
EPA / Rush
4
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
10
Interceptions / Game
25
7
Fumbles / Game
9
19
Turnover EPA / Game
19
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
27
4th Down Efficiency
26
32
RZ Efficiency
12
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
2-8
O/U
Panthers
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
7-3
O/U