NYGGiants
5-9
13
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
38°F
3 mph
27
BALRavens
9-5
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
38°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
3
3
7
13
Ravens
14
6
0
7
27
Spread
-9.5
Total
UNDER
43.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
269
432
Total Plays
59
66
Yards / Play
4.6
6.5
EPA / Play
-0.06
+0.17
Passing Yards
215
--
Comp/Att
24/41(59%)
17/26(65%)
Yards / Pass
5.2
--
EPA / Pass
-0.12
+0.43
Rushing Yards
54
249
Rush Attempts
12
40
Yards / Rush
4.5
6.2
EPA / Rush
+0.16
+0.10
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
25
Passing 1st downs
16
10
Rushing 1st downs
4
15
Penalty 1st downs
4
--
3rd Down %
10%
73%
3rd Down Conversions
1
8
3rd Down Attempts
10
11
Red Zone %
33%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-5.55
Sacks
6
--
Sack Yards
-37
--
Sack EPA
-8.03
--
Penalties
5
10
Penalty Yards
--
65
Penalty EPA
--
-9.04
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
BALRavensFavored
Opening
-10.5
Current
-9.5
Model
-11.5
Win Probability
Market78.5%
Model82.4%
Spread Pick
Ravens-9.5
Expected Value
+15.2%
Cover Probability
60.3%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+306
Home nfelo
1,675
Away nfelo
1,396
Home Field
+8.4
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+2.2
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+18.8
Home QB Adjustment
+11.0
Away QB Adjustment
-7.8
Market Regression
-2.1
Final Difference
267.9
Model Spread
-11.5
Quarterbacks
D. Jones
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
-7.8
L. Jackson
Proj. Value
+5.8
Team Elo Adj
+11.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
1
Yards / Game
31
6
Passing Yards / Game
26
1
Rushing Yards / Game
19
6
EPA
EPA / Play
28
4
EPA / Pass
27
7
EPA / Rush
19
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
15
Interceptions / Game
11
27
Fumbles / Game
30
8
Turnover EPA / Game
12
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
2
4th Down Efficiency
8
10
RZ Efficiency
31
15
Ravens Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
9
Yards / Game
19
12
Passing Yards / Game
30
26
Rushing Yards / Game
1
11
EPA
EPA / Play
7
15
EPA / Pass
19
17
EPA / Rush
1
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
2
Interceptions / Game
14
20
Fumbles / Game
16
13
Turnover EPA / Game
25
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
24
4th Down Efficiency
16
22
RZ Efficiency
17
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
2-7-1
O/U
Ravens
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U