NYGGiants
6-1
13
TBD
Lumen Field
70°F
027
SEASeahawks
4-3
TBD
Lumen Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
7
3
3
13
Seahawks
0
10
3
14
27
Spread
-3
Total
UNDER
44.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
225
277
Total Plays
64
62
Yards / Play
3.5
4.5
EPA / Play
-0.11
+0.12
Passing Yards
147
190
Comp/Att
17/31(55%)
23/34(68%)
Yards / Pass
4.7
5.6
EPA / Pass
+0.00
-0.08
Rushing Yards
78
87
Rush Attempts
28
25
Yards / Rush
2.8
3.5
EPA / Rush
-0.24
-0.13
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
19
Passing 1st downs
9
14
Rushing 1st downs
4
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
38%
23%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
16
13
Red Zone %
50%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
3
Turnover EPA
--
+4.27
Sacks
5
3
Sack Yards
-29
-22
Sack EPA
-2.94
-4.08
Penalties
6
3
Penalty Yards
53
25
Penalty EPA
-5.55
-0.94
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model59.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+89
Home nfelo
1,451
Away nfelo
1,401
Home Field
+53.3
Base HFA
+39.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+14.1
Net QB Adjustment
-13.4
Home QB Adjustment
+7.1
Away QB Adjustment
+20.5
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
65.4
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
D. Jones
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
+20.5
E. Smith
Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
+7.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
25
Yards / Game
19
28
Passing Yards / Game
25
23
Rushing Yards / Game
6
30
EPA
EPA / Play
8
29
EPA / Pass
17
25
EPA / Rush
3
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
9
Interceptions / Game
1
16
Fumbles / Game
10
7
Turnover EPA / Game
32
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
27
4th Down Efficiency
16
3
RZ Efficiency
5
23
Seahawks Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
22
Yards / Game
13
25
Passing Yards / Game
8
2
Rushing Yards / Game
18
28
EPA
EPA / Play
10
31
EPA / Pass
15
21
EPA / Rush
16
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
5
Interceptions / Game
12
32
Fumbles / Game
27
3
Turnover EPA / Game
6
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
5
4th Down Efficiency
6
29
RZ Efficiency
27
10
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
3-7
O/U
Seahawks
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
7-3
O/U