NYGGiants
4-7
17
TBD
Lumen Field
51°F
4 mph
12
SEASeahawks
8-3
TBD
Lumen Field
51°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
0
14
3
17
Seahawks
3
0
0
7
10
Spread
+11
Total
UNDER
48.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
292
327
Total Plays
56
70
Yards / Play
5.2
4.7
EPA / Play
-0.13
-0.22
Passing Yards
102
216
Comp/Att
13/23(57%)
27/43(63%)
Yards / Pass
4.4
5.0
EPA / Pass
-0.29
-0.25
Rushing Yards
190
111
Rush Attempts
31
22
Yards / Rush
6.1
5.0
EPA / Rush
+0.08
-0.29
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
21
Passing 1st downs
6
13
Rushing 1st downs
7
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
25%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
3
4
3rd Down Attempts
12
13
Red Zone %
67%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-5.70
-9.83
Sacks
2
5
Sack Yards
-5
-47
Sack EPA
-2.15
-8.93
Penalties
6
6
Penalty Yards
35
41
Penalty EPA
-4.63
-3.63
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-10.0
Current
-11.0
Model
-10.5
Win Probability
Market81.7%
Model80.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+199
Home nfelo
1,575
Away nfelo
1,411
Home Field
+7.4
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+1.1
Net QB Adjustment
+28.3
Home QB Adjustment
+8.4
Away QB Adjustment
-19.9
Market Regression
+12.5
Final Difference
247.9
Model Spread
-10.5
Quarterbacks
D. McCoy
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
-19.9
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
+8.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
16
Yards / Game
31
22
Passing Yards / Game
26
31
Rushing Yards / Game
19
5
EPA
EPA / Play
28
14
EPA / Pass
27
22
EPA / Rush
19
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
4
Interceptions / Game
11
14
Fumbles / Game
30
17
Turnover EPA / Game
12
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
26
4th Down Efficiency
8
4
RZ Efficiency
31
18
Seahawks Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
9
Yards / Game
18
12
Passing Yards / Game
7
26
Rushing Yards / Game
12
11
EPA
EPA / Play
6
15
EPA / Pass
12
17
EPA / Rush
7
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
2
Interceptions / Game
22
20
Fumbles / Game
2
13
Turnover EPA / Game
14
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
24
4th Down Efficiency
18
22
RZ Efficiency
3
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
4-6
SU
7-3
ATS
3-6-1
O/U
Seahawks
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U