NYGGiants
2-5
18
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
54°F
7 mph
26
PITSteelers
5-2
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
54°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
3
6
0
9
18
Steelers
6
3
1
10
20
Spread
-6
Total
OVER
37.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
394
426
Total Plays
68
63
Yards / Play
5.8
6.8
EPA / Play
-0.04
+0.07
Passing Yards
237
259
Comp/Att
24/39(62%)
20/28(71%)
Yards / Pass
6.1
9.3
EPA / Pass
-0.03
+0.13
Rushing Yards
157
167
Rush Attempts
25
31
Yards / Rush
6.3
5.4
EPA / Rush
+0.17
+0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
20
Passing 1st downs
10
12
Rushing 1st downs
6
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
33%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
15
13
Red Zone %
0%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-6.50
-4.41
Sacks
4
4
Sack Yards
-27
-19
Sack EPA
-9.34
-9.12
Penalties
11
5
Penalty Yards
65
50
Penalty EPA
-8.04
-5.87
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PITSteelersFavored
Opening
-6.0
Current
-6.0
Model
-8.0
Win Probability
Market69.3%
Model75.5%
Spread Pick
Steelers-6.0
Expected Value
+17.9%
Cover Probability
59.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+241
Home nfelo
1,556
Away nfelo
1,419
Home Field
+59.5
Base HFA
+44.1
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+15.4
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+43.7
Home QB Adjustment
+33.0
Away QB Adjustment
-10.7
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
195.9
Model Spread
-8.0
Quarterbacks
D. Jones
Proj. Value
-0.3
Team Elo Adj
-10.7
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
+33.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
7
Yards / Game
30
15
Passing Yards / Game
23
23
Rushing Yards / Game
22
11
EPA
EPA / Play
29
8
EPA / Pass
31
16
EPA / Rush
24
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
8
Interceptions / Game
19
3
Fumbles / Game
22
4
Turnover EPA / Game
6
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
11
4th Down Efficiency
19
28
RZ Efficiency
32
13
Steelers Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
20
Yards / Game
23
23
Passing Yards / Game
14
6
Rushing Yards / Game
12
26
EPA
EPA / Play
16
22
EPA / Pass
19
29
EPA / Rush
28
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
10
Interceptions / Game
3
31
Fumbles / Game
31
8
Turnover EPA / Game
30
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
19
4th Down Efficiency
31
16
RZ Efficiency
29
10
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
3-7
SU
6-4
ATS
3-7
O/U
Steelers
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
5-5
O/U