NYGGiants
3-9
36
TBD
Nissan Stadium
45°F
6 mph
7
TENTitans
2-10
TBD
Nissan Stadium
45°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
11
6
10
3
30
Titans
0
0
1
0
1
Spread
-3
Total
UNDER
46.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
402
207
Total Plays
73
57
Yards / Play
5.5
3.6
EPA / Play
+0.03
-0.59
Passing Yards
--
146
Comp/Att
26/43(60%)
23/35(66%)
Yards / Pass
--
4.2
EPA / Pass
+0.01
-0.77
Rushing Yards
142
61
Rush Attempts
30
14
Yards / Rush
4.7
4.4
EPA / Rush
+0.03
-0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
12
Passing 1st downs
13
9
Rushing 1st downs
6
2
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
44%
15%
3rd Down Conversions
8
2
3rd Down Attempts
18
13
Red Zone %
20%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
5
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-5.95
-15.83
Sacks
--
8
Sack Yards
--
-60
Sack EPA
--
-21.66
Penalties
7
5
Penalty Yards
70
39
Penalty EPA
-1.59
-3.70
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model58.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-16
Home nfelo
1,378
Away nfelo
1,411
Home Field
+73.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-55.0
Home QB Adjustment
-38.9
Away QB Adjustment
+16.1
Market Regression
-57.5
Final Difference
-57.5
Model Spread
+3.0
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+16.1
Z. Mettenberger
Proj. Value
-4.9
Team Elo Adj
-38.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
29
Yards / Game
11
27
Passing Yards / Game
12
2
Rushing Yards / Game
23
31
EPA
EPA / Play
16
30
EPA / Pass
13
26
EPA / Rush
26
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
6
Interceptions / Game
15
22
Fumbles / Game
22
30
Turnover EPA / Game
9
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
19
4th Down Efficiency
31
14
RZ Efficiency
8
24
Titans Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
22
Yards / Game
29
29
Passing Yards / Game
16
31
Rushing Yards / Game
26
30
EPA
EPA / Play
30
20
EPA / Pass
30
16
EPA / Rush
17
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
23
Interceptions / Game
19
11
Fumbles / Game
13
10
Turnover EPA / Game
13
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
4
4th Down Efficiency
28
9
RZ Efficiency
26
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
7-3
O/U
Titans
1-9
SU
2-7-1
ATS
6-4
O/U