NYGGiants
8-5
24
TBD
U.S. Bank Stadium
70°F
027
MINVikings
11-3
TBD
U.S. Bank Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
7
6
11
24
Vikings
7
3
0
17
27
Spread
+4.5
Total
OVER
48
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
447
353
Total Plays
67
71
Yards / Play
6.7
5.0
EPA / Play
+0.02
+0.01
Passing Yards
321
270
Comp/Att
30/43(70%)
34/48(71%)
Yards / Pass
7.5
5.6
EPA / Pass
-0.08
-0.01
Rushing Yards
126
83
Rush Attempts
21
19
Yards / Rush
6.0
4.4
EPA / Rush
+0.23
-0.00
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
23
Passing 1st downs
15
17
Rushing 1st downs
6
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
27%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
3
6
3rd Down Attempts
11
13
Red Zone %
50%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-11.19
--
Sacks
3
4
Sack Yards
-15
-29
Sack EPA
-3.65
-4.88
Penalties
7
2
Penalty Yards
63
--
Penalty EPA
-5.08
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
-4.5
Current
-4.5
Model
-4.5
Win Probability
Market66.1%
Model66.1%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+128
Home nfelo
1,502
Away nfelo
1,386
Home Field
+33.9
Base HFA
+41.2
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-7.4
Net QB Adjustment
-21.7
Home QB Adjustment
-2.8
Away QB Adjustment
+18.8
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
116.0
Model Spread
-4.5
Quarterbacks
D. Jones
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
+18.8
K. Cousins
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
-2.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
30
Yards / Game
19
31
Passing Yards / Game
25
26
Rushing Yards / Game
6
21
EPA
EPA / Play
8
26
EPA / Pass
17
27
EPA / Rush
3
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
11
Interceptions / Game
1
12
Fumbles / Game
10
24
Turnover EPA / Game
32
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
15
4th Down Efficiency
16
6
RZ Efficiency
5
22
Vikings Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
22
Yards / Game
5
25
Passing Yards / Game
3
2
Rushing Yards / Game
29
28
EPA
EPA / Play
17
31
EPA / Pass
10
21
EPA / Rush
28
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
5
Interceptions / Game
21
32
Fumbles / Game
18
3
Turnover EPA / Game
10
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
5
4th Down Efficiency
22
29
RZ Efficiency
8
10
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
5-4-1
SU
7-3
ATS
4-5-1
O/U
Vikings
8-2
SU
5-4-1
ATS
7-3
O/U