JAXJaguars
6-4
24
TBD
New Era Field
60°F
12 mph
27
BUFBills
4-6
TBD
New Era Field
60°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
0
14
0
10
24
Bills
7
10
1
3
21
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
323
241
Total Plays
60
51
Yards / Play
5.4
4.7
EPA / Play
+0.05
+0.08
Passing Yards
116
--
Comp/Att
16/22(73%)
21/28(75%)
Yards / Pass
5.3
--
EPA / Pass
+0.10
+0.21
Rushing Yards
207
72
Rush Attempts
35
23
Yards / Rush
5.9
3.1
EPA / Rush
+0.24
-0.28
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
13
Passing 1st downs
7
8
Rushing 1st downs
11
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
9%
30%
3rd Down Conversions
1
3
3rd Down Attempts
11
10
Red Zone %
75%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
+1.69
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-16
--
Sack EPA
-4.09
--
Penalties
10
4
Penalty Yards
108
55
Penalty EPA
-9.48
+2.33
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jaguars Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
9
Yards / Game
10
18
Passing Yards / Game
17
6
Rushing Yards / Game
3
27
EPA
EPA / Play
11
10
EPA / Pass
17
9
EPA / Rush
2
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
6
Interceptions / Game
11
24
Fumbles / Game
2
25
Turnover EPA / Game
25
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
12
4th Down Efficiency
14
28
RZ Efficiency
9
20
Bills Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
4
Yards / Game
30
2
Passing Yards / Game
20
11
Rushing Yards / Game
27
4
EPA
EPA / Play
21
3
EPA / Pass
18
3
EPA / Rush
25
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
20
Interceptions / Game
11
6
Fumbles / Game
28
29
Turnover EPA / Game
16
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
11
4th Down Efficiency
20
1
RZ Efficiency
25
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jaguars
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bills
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U