JAXJaguars
4-2
24
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
84°F
11 mph
23
TBBuccaneers
4-3
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
84°F
11 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
7
4
0
7
18
Buccaneers
3
10
10
0
23
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
219
385
Total Plays
62
64
Yards / Play
3.5
6.0
EPA / Play
-0.07
-0.14
Passing Yards
86
249
Comp/Att
7/16(44%)
19/41(46%)
Yards / Pass
5.4
6.1
EPA / Pass
+0.10
-0.34
Rushing Yards
133
136
Rush Attempts
44
21
Yards / Rush
3.0
6.5
EPA / Rush
-0.15
+0.18
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
12
18
Passing 1st downs
6
12
Rushing 1st downs
6
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
25%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
4
4
3rd Down Attempts
16
14
Red Zone %
100%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-13.66
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-14
-18
Sack EPA
-2.36
-3.15
Penalties
5
7
Penalty Yards
45
74
Penalty EPA
-3.90
-6.57
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jaguars Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
3
Yards / Game
8
2
Passing Yards / Game
20
6
Rushing Yards / Game
2
16
EPA
EPA / Play
4
4
EPA / Pass
4
9
EPA / Rush
1
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
14
Interceptions / Game
2
18
Fumbles / Game
7
3
Turnover EPA / Game
30
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
20
4th Down Efficiency
8
24
RZ Efficiency
9
29
Buccaneers Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
11
Yards / Game
18
13
Passing Yards / Game
21
26
Rushing Yards / Game
13
11
EPA
EPA / Play
16
18
EPA / Pass
15
19
EPA / Rush
11
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
18
Interceptions / Game
1
4
Fumbles / Game
18
12
Turnover EPA / Game
28
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
21
4th Down Efficiency
25
14
RZ Efficiency
24
24
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jaguars
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Buccaneers
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U