JAXJaguars
2-1
14
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
043
INDColts
1-1
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
0
14
0
0
14
Colts
7
14
3
17
41
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
286
533
Total Plays
65
63
Yards / Play
4.4
8.5
EPA / Play
-0.12
+0.34
Passing Yards
189
--
Comp/Att
21/36(58%)
23/36(64%)
Yards / Pass
5.3
--
EPA / Pass
-0.23
+0.70
Rushing Yards
97
93
Rush Attempts
24
28
Yards / Rush
4.0
3.3
EPA / Rush
-0.05
-0.15
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
21
Passing 1st downs
12
16
Rushing 1st downs
5
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
36%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
5
5
3rd Down Attempts
14
12
Red Zone %
50%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-8.92
-4.87
Sacks
5
--
Sack Yards
-40
--
Sack EPA
-6.25
--
Penalties
4
11
Penalty Yards
40
90
Penalty EPA
-2.53
-7.87
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jaguars Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
16
Yards / Game
6
22
Passing Yards / Game
8
8
Rushing Yards / Game
8
27
EPA
EPA / Play
8
21
EPA / Pass
10
14
EPA / Rush
11
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
31
Interceptions / Game
10
17
Fumbles / Game
19
28
Turnover EPA / Game
16
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
21
4th Down Efficiency
24
28
RZ Efficiency
16
25
Colts Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
15
Yards / Game
3
11
Passing Yards / Game
18
2
Rushing Yards / Game
15
12
EPA
EPA / Play
2
16
EPA / Pass
2
20
EPA / Rush
7
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
4
Interceptions / Game
8
25
Fumbles / Game
15
2
Turnover EPA / Game
20
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
11
4th Down Efficiency
1
16
RZ Efficiency
4
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jaguars
7-3
SU
4-4-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Colts
7-3
SU
3-6-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U