JAXJaguars
8-3
25
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
028
INDColts
9-2
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
0
7
7
11
25
Colts
14
7
0
7
28
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
413
342
Total Plays
64
55
Yards / Play
6.5
6.2
EPA / Play
+0.20
+0.23
Passing Yards
243
279
Comp/Att
24/29(83%)
20/29(69%)
Yards / Pass
8.4
9.6
EPA / Pass
+0.21
+0.58
Rushing Yards
170
63
Rush Attempts
32
25
Yards / Rush
5.3
2.5
EPA / Rush
+0.38
-0.25
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
27
19
Passing 1st downs
14
14
Rushing 1st downs
12
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
60%
77%
3rd Down Conversions
6
10
3rd Down Attempts
10
13
Red Zone %
60%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
5
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-10.25
-5.87
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-14
-9
Sack EPA
-6.42
-1.46
Penalties
8
2
Penalty Yards
64
15
Penalty EPA
-6.14
-1.82
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jaguars Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
2
Yards / Game
8
3
Passing Yards / Game
20
3
Rushing Yards / Game
2
14
EPA
EPA / Play
4
10
EPA / Pass
4
7
EPA / Rush
1
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
28
Interceptions / Game
2
2
Fumbles / Game
7
13
Turnover EPA / Game
30
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
31
4th Down Efficiency
8
23
RZ Efficiency
9
22
Colts Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
11
Yards / Game
3
13
Passing Yards / Game
23
26
Rushing Yards / Game
20
11
EPA
EPA / Play
2
18
EPA / Pass
3
19
EPA / Rush
4
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
18
Interceptions / Game
11
4
Fumbles / Game
4
12
Turnover EPA / Game
31
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
21
4th Down Efficiency
10
14
RZ Efficiency
10
24
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jaguars
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Colts
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U