JAXJaguars
5-10
14
TBD
Georgia Dome
70°F
021
ATLFalcons
4-11
TBD
Georgia Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
7
0
7
0
14
Falcons
14
7
0
0
21
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
320
344
Total Plays
61
62
Yards / Play
5.2
5.5
EPA / Play
+0.02
+0.02
Passing Yards
163
178
Comp/Att
19/32(59%)
12/22(55%)
Yards / Pass
5.1
8.1
EPA / Pass
-0.01
+0.37
Rushing Yards
157
166
Rush Attempts
28
39
Yards / Rush
5.6
4.3
EPA / Rush
+0.25
+0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
21
Passing 1st downs
10
9
Rushing 1st downs
11
11
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
38%
64%
3rd Down Conversions
5
9
3rd Down Attempts
13
14
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-0.02
-4.37
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-4
-2
Sack EPA
-0.77
-0.80
Penalties
9
4
Penalty Yards
48
35
Penalty EPA
-3.98
-6.23
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jaguars Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
30
Yards / Game
12
32
Passing Yards / Game
13
25
Rushing Yards / Game
8
29
EPA
EPA / Play
18
22
EPA / Pass
16
29
EPA / Rush
12
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
18
Interceptions / Game
17
15
Fumbles / Game
19
2
Turnover EPA / Game
9
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
22
4th Down Efficiency
16
4
RZ Efficiency
25
24
Falcons Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
16
Yards / Game
29
6
Passing Yards / Game
23
2
Rushing Yards / Game
14
2
EPA
EPA / Play
30
18
EPA / Pass
32
30
EPA / Rush
5
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
24
Interceptions / Game
28
15
Fumbles / Game
5
8
Turnover EPA / Game
6
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
30
4th Down Efficiency
9
20
RZ Efficiency
13
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jaguars
4-6
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Falcons
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U