JAXJaguars
4-2
21
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
024
LARRams
3-4
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
7
7
7
0
21
Rams
8
3
0
7
18
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
427
386
Total Plays
61
56
Yards / Play
7.0
6.9
EPA / Play
-0.16
-0.18
Passing Yards
206
186
Comp/Att
18/31(58%)
13/21(62%)
Yards / Pass
6.6
8.9
EPA / Pass
-0.20
-0.08
Rushing Yards
221
200
Rush Attempts
28
33
Yards / Rush
7.9
6.1
EPA / Rush
+0.28
-0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
15
Passing 1st downs
10
7
Rushing 1st downs
6
7
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
43%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
14
12
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
1
3
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-9.58
-10.43
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-7
-14
Sack EPA
-1.92
-3.09
Penalties
4
9
Penalty Yards
25
59
Penalty EPA
-2.43
-6.99
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jaguars Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
31
Yards / Game
16
30
Passing Yards / Game
18
25
Rushing Yards / Game
10
28
EPA
EPA / Play
13
22
EPA / Pass
12
23
EPA / Rush
11
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
6
Interceptions / Game
1
24
Fumbles / Game
17
9
Turnover EPA / Game
29
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
23
4th Down Efficiency
25
1
RZ Efficiency
9
29
Rams Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
8
Yards / Game
9
5
Passing Yards / Game
2
21
Rushing Yards / Game
22
13
EPA
EPA / Play
18
5
EPA / Pass
13
11
EPA / Rush
30
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
16
Interceptions / Game
30
8
Fumbles / Game
18
31
Turnover EPA / Game
6
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
3
4th Down Efficiency
4
2
RZ Efficiency
20
25
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jaguars
7-3
SU
7-2-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Rams
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U