JAXJaguars
9-1
30
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
54°F
16 mph
23
BALRavens
4-5
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
54°F
16 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
0
7
0
17
24
Ravens
10
3
3
7
23
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
392
280
Total Plays
77
59
Yards / Play
5.1
4.7
EPA / Play
+0.10
-0.04
Passing Yards
332
199
Comp/Att
27/49(55%)
17/34(50%)
Yards / Pass
6.8
5.9
EPA / Pass
+0.34
-0.30
Rushing Yards
60
81
Rush Attempts
25
22
Yards / Rush
2.4
3.7
EPA / Rush
-0.32
-0.13
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
14
Passing 1st downs
20
11
Rushing 1st downs
3
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
50%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
9
3
3rd Down Attempts
18
12
Red Zone %
75%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
4
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
0
3
Turnover EPA
-7.84
-10.93
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-10
-15
Sack EPA
-3.06
-8.85
Penalties
8
6
Penalty Yards
41
39
Penalty EPA
-5.85
-3.56
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jaguars Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
7
Yards / Game
4
2
Passing Yards / Game
13
4
Rushing Yards / Game
1
1
EPA
EPA / Play
5
3
EPA / Pass
4
2
EPA / Rush
3
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
4
Interceptions / Game
2
10
Fumbles / Game
4
28
Turnover EPA / Game
30
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
10
4th Down Efficiency
17
19
RZ Efficiency
18
13
Ravens Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
1
Yards / Game
22
3
Passing Yards / Game
17
6
Rushing Yards / Game
15
6
EPA
EPA / Play
19
4
EPA / Pass
29
4
EPA / Rush
9
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
21
Interceptions / Game
22
12
Fumbles / Game
21
5
Turnover EPA / Game
20
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
6
4th Down Efficiency
29
3
RZ Efficiency
30
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jaguars
9-1
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Ravens
4-5
SU
5-4
ATS
0-0-9
O/U