JAXJaguars
3-2
7
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
027
HOUTexans
1-4
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
0
0
7
0
7
Texans
0
10
0
17
27
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
220
349
Total Plays
54
69
Yards / Play
4.1
5.1
EPA / Play
-0.40
-0.01
Passing Yards
118
218
Comp/Att
14/28(50%)
25/34(74%)
Yards / Pass
4.2
6.4
EPA / Pass
-0.66
+0.16
Rushing Yards
102
131
Rush Attempts
25
34
Yards / Rush
4.1
3.9
EPA / Rush
-0.21
-0.14
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
21
Passing 1st downs
5
10
Rushing 1st downs
7
10
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
25%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
3
5
3rd Down Attempts
12
14
Red Zone %
100%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-9.80
--
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-7
-6
Sack EPA
-2.55
-1.78
Penalties
7
3
Penalty Yards
35
--
Penalty EPA
-3.43
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jaguars Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
25
Yards / Game
10
24
Passing Yards / Game
17
23
Rushing Yards / Game
3
19
EPA
EPA / Play
11
28
EPA / Pass
17
26
EPA / Rush
2
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
10
Interceptions / Game
11
28
Fumbles / Game
2
19
Turnover EPA / Game
25
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
30
4th Down Efficiency
14
11
RZ Efficiency
9
18
Texans Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
4
Yards / Game
28
2
Passing Yards / Game
23
11
Rushing Yards / Game
21
4
EPA
EPA / Play
23
3
EPA / Pass
22
3
EPA / Rush
12
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
20
Interceptions / Game
7
6
Fumbles / Game
17
29
Turnover EPA / Game
14
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
11
4th Down Efficiency
5
1
RZ Efficiency
8
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jaguars
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Texans
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U