JAXJaguars
3-1
14
TBD
Nissan Stadium
65°F
15 mph
23
TENTitans
1-4
TBD
Nissan Stadium
65°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
0
7
7
0
14
Titans
7
9
0
7
23
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
198
370
Total Plays
42
77
Yards / Play
4.7
4.8
EPA / Play
-0.01
+0.09
Passing Yards
68
218
Comp/Att
7/13(54%)
26/36(72%)
Yards / Pass
5.2
6.1
EPA / Pass
-0.53
+0.03
Rushing Yards
130
152
Rush Attempts
26
40
Yards / Rush
5.0
3.8
EPA / Rush
+0.21
+0.11
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
25
Passing 1st downs
4
14
Rushing 1st downs
7
10
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
44%
59%
3rd Down Conversions
4
10
3rd Down Attempts
9
17
Red Zone %
100%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-7.02
-4.96
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-16
-8
Sack EPA
-1.48
-1.56
Penalties
4
5
Penalty Yards
22
55
Penalty EPA
-3.60
-4.13
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jaguars Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
16
Yards / Game
25
11
Passing Yards / Game
26
26
Rushing Yards / Game
9
2
EPA
EPA / Play
32
18
EPA / Pass
30
22
EPA / Rush
32
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
31
Interceptions / Game
1
18
Fumbles / Game
3
25
Turnover EPA / Game
31
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
12
4th Down Efficiency
5
15
RZ Efficiency
32
24
Titans Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
7
Yards / Game
16
20
Passing Yards / Game
16
20
Rushing Yards / Game
11
25
EPA
EPA / Play
14
23
EPA / Pass
5
21
EPA / Rush
15
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
9
Interceptions / Game
16
22
Fumbles / Game
18
12
Turnover EPA / Game
22
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
19
4th Down Efficiency
15
20
RZ Efficiency
5
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jaguars
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Titans
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U