NYJJets
6-1
17
TBD
New Era Field
55°F
25 mph
22
BUFBills
2-5
TBD
New Era Field
55°F
25 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jets
0
10
0
7
17
Bills
7
3
7
3
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
282
341
Total Plays
44
76
Yards / Play
6.4
4.5
EPA / Play
-0.07
-0.03
Passing Yards
194
--
Comp/Att
9/18(50%)
18/30(60%)
Yards / Pass
10.8
--
EPA / Pass
+0.41
+0.19
Rushing Yards
88
157
Rush Attempts
25
46
Yards / Rush
3.5
3.4
EPA / Rush
-0.34
-0.21
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
12
19
Passing 1st downs
9
10
Rushing 1st downs
2
9
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
20%
39%
3rd Down Conversions
2
7
3rd Down Attempts
10
18
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-7.97
--
Sacks
1
--
Sack Yards
-13
--
Sack EPA
-1.96
--
Penalties
7
8
Penalty Yards
40
66
Penalty EPA
-5.18
-5.26
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NYJJetsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jets Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
8
Yards / Game
12
2
Passing Yards / Game
29
5
Rushing Yards / Game
3
6
EPA
EPA / Play
10
1
EPA / Pass
13
2
EPA / Rush
3
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
13
Interceptions / Game
2
2
Fumbles / Game
2
3
Turnover EPA / Game
32
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
13
4th Down Efficiency
14
30
RZ Efficiency
13
4
Bills Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
3
Yards / Game
25
8
Passing Yards / Game
23
24
Rushing Yards / Game
12
7
EPA
EPA / Play
20
11
EPA / Pass
20
17
EPA / Rush
25
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
23
Interceptions / Game
17
9
Fumbles / Game
18
18
Turnover EPA / Game
14
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
21
4th Down Efficiency
19
11
RZ Efficiency
28
11
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jets
7-3
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bills
2-8
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U