NYJJets
3-3
13
TBD
MetLife Stadium
52°F
6 mph
10
NYGGiants
2-5
TBD
MetLife Stadium
52°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Jets
7
0
0
3
3
13
Giants
3
0
7
0
0
10
Spread
3
P
Total
UNDER
35
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
251
194
Total Plays
62
70
Yards / Play
4.0
2.8
EPA / Play
-0.42
-0.43
Passing Yards
193
-9
Comp/Att
17/36(47%)
6/14(43%)
Yards / Pass
5.4
-0.6
EPA / Pass
-0.39
-1.24
Rushing Yards
58
203
Rush Attempts
22
52
Yards / Rush
2.6
3.9
EPA / Rush
-0.48
-0.17
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
12
12
Passing 1st downs
8
--
Rushing 1st downs
2
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
5
3rd Down %
13%
11%
3rd Down Conversions
2
2
3rd Down Attempts
15
19
Red Zone %
0%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-10.22
--
Sacks
4
4
Sack Yards
-47
-16
Sack EPA
-12.82
-5.24
Penalties
9
6
Penalty Yards
85
73
Penalty EPA
-12.14
-4.94
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYJJetsFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model59.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-58
Home nfelo
1,441
Away nfelo
1,544
Home Field
+9.6
Base HFA
+43.2
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
-33.6
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+34.5
Home QB Adjustment
-36.5
Away QB Adjustment
-71.1
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-68.3
Model Spread
+3.0
Quarterbacks
Z. Wilson
Proj. Value
-3.7
Team Elo Adj
-71.1
T. Taylor
Proj. Value
-1.5
Team Elo Adj
-36.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Jets Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
26
Yards / Game
31
27
Passing Yards / Game
30
5
Rushing Yards / Game
22
29
EPA
EPA / Play
31
17
EPA / Pass
32
12
EPA / Rush
32
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
1
Interceptions / Game
22
3
Fumbles / Game
32
1
Turnover EPA / Game
3
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
10
4th Down Efficiency
8
20
RZ Efficiency
32
24
Giants Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
10
Yards / Game
29
2
Passing Yards / Game
29
4
Rushing Yards / Game
16
25
EPA
EPA / Play
30
4
EPA / Pass
29
3
EPA / Rush
29
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
4
Interceptions / Game
15
5
Fumbles / Game
6
13
Turnover EPA / Game
21
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
12
4th Down Efficiency
20
5
RZ Efficiency
31
7
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jets
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
3-7
O/U
Giants
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
2-8
O/U