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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. jets @ seahawks week 17, 2022

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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NYJ logo
NYJJets
7-8
6
TBD
Lumen Field
45°F
2 mph
23
SEASeahawks
7-8
SEA logo
TBD
Lumen Field
45°F
2 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jets
3
3
0
0
6
Seahawks
10
7
3
3
23

Spread

SEA logo
+1

Total

UNDER
43

Game Statistics

General
Jets logo
Seahawks logo
Total Yards
279
346
Total Plays
67
71
Yards / Play
4.2
4.9
EPA / Play
-0.36
-0.08
Passing Yards
204
148
Comp/Att
23/46(50%)
18/29(62%)
Yards / Pass
4.4
5.1
EPA / Pass
-0.41
-0.08
Rushing Yards
75
198
Rush Attempts
17
38
Yards / Rush
4.4
5.2
EPA / Rush
-0.16
+0.01
Downs & Conversions
Jets logo
Seahawks logo
1st Downs
20
20
Passing 1st downs
14
10
Rushing 1st downs
5
9
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
31%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
13
15
Red Zone %
0%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
5
Negative Plays
Jets logo
Seahawks logo
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-10.63
--
Sacks
4
4
Sack Yards
-36
-35
Sack EPA
-4.68
-6.01
Penalties
2
5
Penalty Yards
10
25
Penalty EPA
-1.86
-1.94

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
NYJ logo
NYJJetsFavored
Opening
-1.0
Current
-1.0
Model
+1.0

Win Probability

Market52.3%
Model47.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+45
Home nfelo
1,443
Away nfelo
1,453
Home Field
+49.2
Base HFA
+41.7
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+7.5
Net QB Adjustment
+5.2
Home QB Adjustment
+7.7
Away QB Adjustment
+2.5
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
16.2
Model Spread
-1.0

Quarterbacks

M. White headshot

M. White

Proj. Value
-3.3
Team Elo Adj
+2.5
Value
Ptile
10/31
6.1
88
11/04
-3.6
27
11/14
-8.2
7
11/27
7.5
92
12/04
-1.6
42
12/11
-1.0
45
E. Smith headshot

E. Smith

Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
+7.7
Value
Ptile
10/16
-3.9
24
10/23
-0.1
51
10/30
1.8
66
11/06
3.6
79
11/13
4.2
81
11/27
1.3
61
12/04
4.2
82
12/11
-1.0
45
12/15
2.8
74
12/24
-3.1
27

Team Matchup Ranks

Jets Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Jets logo
Seahawks logo

Total

Points / Game
29
25
Yards / Game
25
28
Passing Yards / Game
10
23
Rushing Yards / Game
25
30

EPA

EPA / Play
29
29
EPA / Pass
26
25
EPA / Rush
22
25

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
26
9
Interceptions / Game
17
16
Fumbles / Game
11
7
Turnover EPA / Game
11
10

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
28
27
4th Down Efficiency
26
3
RZ Efficiency
31
23
Seahawks Offense vs Jets Defense
Seahawks logo
Jets logo

Total

Points / Game
10
2
Yards / Game
13
4
Passing Yards / Game
8
14
Rushing Yards / Game
18
17

EPA

EPA / Play
10
4
EPA / Pass
15
5
EPA / Rush
16
20

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
22
13
Interceptions / Game
12
19
Fumbles / Game
27
31
Turnover EPA / Game
6
3

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
20
10
4th Down Efficiency
6
8
RZ Efficiency
27
3

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

NYJ logo

Jets

4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
2-8
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/16
17
W
W
U
10/23
7
W
W
U
10/30
-5
L
L
U
11/06
3
W
W
U
11/20
-7
L
L
U
11/27
21
W
W
O
12/04
-5
L
L
O
12/11
-8
L
W
U
12/18
-3
L
L
U
12/22
-16
L
L
U
SEA logo

Seahawks

5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/16
10
W
W
U
10/23
14
W
W
O
10/30
14
W
W
U
11/06
10
W
W
O
11/13
-5
L
L
U
11/27
-6
L
L
O
12/04
4
W
L
O
12/11
-6
L
L
O
12/15
-8
L
L
U
12/24
-14
L
L
U