DETLions
2-11
9
TBD
Lambeau Field
41°F
10 mph
17
GBPackers
5-8
TBD
Lambeau Field
41°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Lions
3
0
3
3
9
Packers
3
7
0
7
17
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
142
303
Total Plays
52
70
Yards / Play
2.7
4.3
EPA / Play
-0.46
-0.26
Passing Yards
84
164
Comp/Att
16/26(62%)
20/37(54%)
Yards / Pass
3.2
4.4
EPA / Pass
-0.87
-0.30
Rushing Yards
58
139
Rush Attempts
20
32
Yards / Rush
2.9
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.37
-0.15
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
10
19
Passing 1st downs
6
9
Rushing 1st downs
3
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
17%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
2
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
15
Red Zone %
0%
20%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
4
Interceptions
2
3
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-14.84
-17.02
Sacks
6
1
Sack Yards
-51
-10
Sack EPA
-8.45
-0.65
Penalties
6
9
Penalty Yards
37
69
Penalty EPA
-7.99
-6.86
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DETLionsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Lions Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
25
Yards / Game
22
13
Passing Yards / Game
1
27
Rushing Yards / Game
32
13
EPA
EPA / Play
26
12
EPA / Pass
21
8
EPA / Rush
30
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
28
Interceptions / Game
28
2
Fumbles / Game
31
22
Turnover EPA / Game
2
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
4
4th Down Efficiency
24
27
RZ Efficiency
30
19
Packers Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
30
Yards / Game
9
28
Passing Yards / Game
11
8
Rushing Yards / Game
23
21
EPA
EPA / Play
27
24
EPA / Pass
15
30
EPA / Rush
29
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
2
Interceptions / Game
20
25
Fumbles / Game
26
4
Turnover EPA / Game
8
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
27
4th Down Efficiency
22
32
RZ Efficiency
31
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Lions
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Packers
4-6
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U