DETLions
2-12
29
TBD
Lumen Field
37°F
051
SEASeahawks
5-10
TBD
Lumen Field
37°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Lions
0
7
15
7
29
Seahawks
10
21
7
13
51
Spread
-7.5
Total
OVER
41.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
359
497
Total Plays
60
71
Yards / Play
6.0
7.0
EPA / Play
+0.04
+0.34
Passing Yards
--
232
Comp/Att
22/38(58%)
20/29(69%)
Yards / Pass
--
8.0
EPA / Pass
+0.19
+0.53
Rushing Yards
95
265
Rush Attempts
22
41
Yards / Rush
4.3
6.5
EPA / Rush
-0.25
+0.18
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
29
Passing 1st downs
12
13
Rushing 1st downs
5
15
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
50%
58%
3rd Down Conversions
5
7
3rd Down Attempts
10
12
Red Zone %
100%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
3
6
Red Zone Attempts
3
9
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-13.35
--
Sacks
--
1
Sack Yards
--
-4
Sack EPA
--
-1.10
Penalties
4
5
Penalty Yards
30
31
Penalty EPA
-2.84
-5.19
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-9.0
Current
-7.5
Model
-11.0
Win Probability
Market74.4%
Model81.8%
Spread Pick
Seahawks-7.5
Expected Value
+25.0%
Cover Probability
65.5%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+342
Home nfelo
1,532
Away nfelo
1,363
Home Field
+49.2
Base HFA
+36.2
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+13.0
Net QB Adjustment
+123.4
Home QB Adjustment
-10.8
Away QB Adjustment
-134.2
Market Regression
-23.4
Final Difference
261.4
Model Spread
-11.0
Quarterbacks
T. Boyle
Proj. Value
-3.6
Team Elo Adj
-134.2
Value
Ptile
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
-10.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Lions Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
12
Yards / Game
22
28
Passing Yards / Game
25
32
Rushing Yards / Game
18
17
EPA
EPA / Play
23
17
EPA / Pass
21
24
EPA / Rush
25
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
7
Interceptions / Game
14
22
Fumbles / Game
20
18
Turnover EPA / Game
8
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
15
4th Down Efficiency
21
3
RZ Efficiency
31
3
Seahawks Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
31
Yards / Game
20
29
Passing Yards / Game
24
24
Rushing Yards / Game
10
28
EPA
EPA / Play
13
30
EPA / Pass
17
29
EPA / Rush
6
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
19
Interceptions / Game
2
22
Fumbles / Game
5
11
Turnover EPA / Game
31
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
29
4th Down Efficiency
32
28
RZ Efficiency
3
30
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Lions
2-7-1
SU
6-3-1
ATS
3-7
O/U
Seahawks
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
3-6-1
O/U