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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. packers @ cardinals week 7, 2025

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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nfelo

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    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
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    Projected and realized opponent quality
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    Win total projections and results

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GB logo
GBPackers
3-1
27
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0
23
ARICardinals
2-4
ARI logo
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Packers
0
6
7
14
27
Cardinals
3
10
7
3
23

Spread

ARI logo
+7

Total

OVER
45

Game Statistics

General
Packers logo
Cardinals logo
Total Yards
262
330
Total Plays
53
70
Yards / Play
4.9
4.7
EPA / Play
+0.17
+0.05
Passing Yards
168
236
Comp/Att
19/29(66%)
25/36(69%)
Yards / Pass
5.8
6.6
EPA / Pass
+0.21
+0.03
Rushing Yards
94
94
Rush Attempts
23
28
Yards / Rush
4.1
3.4
EPA / Rush
+0.00
-0.17
Downs & Conversions
Packers logo
Cardinals logo
1st Downs
19
23
Passing 1st downs
10
13
Rushing 1st downs
5
5
Penalty 1st downs
4
5
3rd Down %
30%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
3
7
3rd Down Attempts
10
14
Red Zone %
75%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Packers logo
Cardinals logo
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-5.86
Sacks
1
6
Sack Yards
-11
-43
Sack EPA
-2.02
-12.37
Penalties
10
6
Penalty Yards
94
55
Penalty EPA
-11.34
-5.70

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
GB logo
GBPackersFavored
Opening
-6.5
Current
-7.0
Model
-7.0

Win Probability

Market73.2%
Model73.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-141
Home nfelo
1,472
Away nfelo
1,587
Home Field
+48.1
Base HFA
+40.8
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+7.3
Net QB Adjustment
-74.7
Home QB Adjustment
-66.3
Away QB Adjustment
+8.4
Market Regression
-15.6
Final Difference
-174.6
Model Spread
+7.0

Quarterbacks

J. Love headshot

J. Love

Proj. Value
+0.6
Team Elo Adj
+8.4
Value
Ptile
12/15
4.9
80
12/23
0.1
50
12/29
-2.4
32
01/05
-2.5
31
01/12
-7.7
6
09/07
2.1
65
09/11
3.0
72
09/21
-4.3
22
09/28
9.5
96
10/12
1.7
62
J. Brissett headshot

J. Brissett

Proj. Value
-0.5
Team Elo Adj
-66.3
Value
Ptile
10/31
5.1
85
11/13
-1.0
46
11/20
10.3
97
11/27
-2.6
30
09/08
-2.6
30
09/15
-4.7
18
09/19
-7.3
7
09/29
-8.3
4
10/06
-4.6
19
10/12
2.1
65

Team Matchup Ranks

Packers Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Packers logo
Cardinals logo

Total

Points / Game
13
29
Yards / Game
10
26
Passing Yards / Game
16
27
Rushing Yards / Game
18
25

EPA

EPA / Play
3
28
EPA / Pass
2
27
EPA / Rush
21
20

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
13
6
Interceptions / Game
3
17
Fumbles / Game
15
7
Turnover EPA / Game
30
11

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
2
26
4th Down Efficiency
19
8
RZ Efficiency
16
27
Cardinals Offense vs Packers Defense
Cardinals logo
Packers logo

Total

Points / Game
23
11
Yards / Game
19
11
Passing Yards / Game
5
5
Rushing Yards / Game
29
15

EPA

EPA / Play
26
25
EPA / Pass
18
22
EPA / Rush
26
19

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
5
26
Interceptions / Game
11
27
Fumbles / Game
23
24
Turnover EPA / Game
15
4

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
9
18
4th Down Efficiency
30
15
RZ Efficiency
22
23

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

GB logo

Packers

5-4-1
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/15
17
W
W
U
12/23
34
W
W
U
12/29
-2
L
L
O
01/05
-2
L
L
O
01/12
-12
L
L
U
09/07
14
W
W
U
09/11
9
W
W
U
09/21
-3
L
L
U
09/28
0
T
L
O
10/12
9
W
L
O
ARI logo

Cardinals

4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/15
13
W
W
O
12/22
-6
L
L
O
12/28
-4
L
W
U
01/05
23
W
W
O
09/07
7
W
W
U
09/14
5
W
L
O
09/21
-1
L
W
U
09/25
-3
L
L
U
10/05
-1
L
L
O
10/12
-4
L
W
O