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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. packers @ chiefs week 9, 2007

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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nfelo

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GB logo
GBPackers
6-1
33
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
61°F
8 mph
22
KCChiefs
4-3
KC logo
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
61°F
8 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Packers
0
6
7
14
27
Chiefs
0
7
0
15
22

Game Statistics

General
Packers logo
Chiefs logo
Total Yards
432
236
Total Plays
62
60
Yards / Play
7.0
3.9
EPA / Play
+0.17
-0.09
Passing Yards
354
173
Comp/Att
24/34(71%)
19/32(59%)
Yards / Pass
10.4
5.4
EPA / Pass
+0.51
-0.30
Rushing Yards
78
63
Rush Attempts
27
23
Yards / Rush
2.9
2.7
EPA / Rush
-0.32
-0.15
Downs & Conversions
Packers logo
Chiefs logo
1st Downs
19
20
Passing 1st downs
17
11
Rushing 1st downs
1
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
4
3rd Down %
43%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
11
Red Zone %
33%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Packers logo
Chiefs logo
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-8.55
-12.25
Sacks
1
5
Sack Yards
-6
-40
Sack EPA
-1.23
-7.16
Penalties
13
6
Penalty Yards
115
55
Penalty EPA
-11.07
-5.72

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
GB logo
GBPackersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Packers Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Packers logo
Chiefs logo

Total

Points / Game
4
15
Yards / Game
2
12
Passing Yards / Game
16
22
Rushing Yards / Game
19
28

EPA

EPA / Play
5
14
EPA / Pass
5
10
EPA / Rush
20
20

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
18
1
Interceptions / Game
12
24
Fumbles / Game
21
18
Turnover EPA / Game
29
3

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
9
1
4th Down Efficiency
15
1
RZ Efficiency
8
1
Chiefs Offense vs Packers Defense
Chiefs logo
Packers logo

Total

Points / Game
31
7
Yards / Game
31
10
Passing Yards / Game
12
14
Rushing Yards / Game
32
12

EPA

EPA / Play
30
11
EPA / Pass
28
8
EPA / Rush
29
16

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
22
30
Interceptions / Game
24
17
Fumbles / Game
15
30
Turnover EPA / Game
13
14

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
27
3
4th Down Efficiency
3
4
RZ Efficiency
23
9

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

GB logo

Packers

9-1
SU
7-2-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/17
8
W
W
P
12/21
2
W
L
P
12/31
19
W
W
P
09/09
3
W
W
P
09/16
22
W
W
P
09/23
7
W
W
P
09/30
7
W
W
P
10/07
-7
L
L
P
10/14
3
W
P
P
10/29
6
W
W
P
KC logo

Chiefs

6-4
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/23
11
W
W
P
12/31
5
W
W
P
01/06
-15
L
L
P
09/09
-17
L
L
P
09/16
-10
L
W
P
09/23
3
W
P
P
09/30
14
W
W
P
10/07
-10
L
L
P
10/14
7
W
W
P
10/21
2
W
W
P