GBPackers
-
29
TBD
Arena Corinthians
70°F
034
PHIEagles
-
TBD
Arena Corinthians
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Packers
6
13
7
3
29
Eagles
0
17
14
3
34
Spread
-2
Total
OVER
49.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
414
410
Total Plays
59
74
Yards / Play
7.0
5.5
EPA / Play
+0.13
+0.13
Passing Yards
251
266
Comp/Att
17/35(49%)
20/34(59%)
Yards / Pass
7.2
7.8
EPA / Pass
+0.07
+0.33
Rushing Yards
163
144
Rush Attempts
22
38
Yards / Rush
7.4
3.8
EPA / Rush
+0.38
-0.17
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
25
Passing 1st downs
9
14
Rushing 1st downs
7
8
Penalty 1st downs
3
3
3rd Down %
27%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
3
4
3rd Down Attempts
11
14
Red Zone %
25%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-3.51
-10.24
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-9
-12
Sack EPA
+0.12
-3.14
Penalties
10
7
Penalty Yards
71
57
Penalty EPA
-11.75
-6.34
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-2.0
Model
+0.5
Win Probability
Market54.2%
Model49.1%
Spread Pick
Packers+2.0
Expected Value
+0.1%
Cover Probability
50.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-36
Home nfelo
1,535
Away nfelo
1,553
Home Field
-8.3
Base HFA
--
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-8.3
Net QB Adjustment
-9.5
Home QB Adjustment
-1.3
Away QB Adjustment
+8.2
Market Regression
-16.0
Final Difference
-6.4
Model Spread
+0.5
Quarterbacks
J. Love
Proj. Value
+0.2
Team Elo Adj
+8.2
J. Hurts
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
-1.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Packers Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
1
Yards / Game
7
1
Passing Yards / Game
29
14
Rushing Yards / Game
6
4
EPA
EPA / Play
9
1
EPA / Pass
8
1
EPA / Rush
8
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
12
Interceptions / Game
20
6
Fumbles / Game
19
1
Turnover EPA / Game
16
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
8
4th Down Efficiency
23
21
RZ Efficiency
10
6
Eagles Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
5
Yards / Game
8
4
Passing Yards / Game
25
22
Rushing Yards / Game
2
7
EPA
EPA / Play
7
5
EPA / Pass
7
5
EPA / Rush
4
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
25
31
Interceptions / Game
3
3
Fumbles / Game
8
4
Turnover EPA / Game
31
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
7
4th Down Efficiency
3
22
RZ Efficiency
10
16
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Packers
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
7-3
O/U
Eagles
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
5-5
O/U