GBPackers
5-3
27
TBD
MetLife Stadium
55°F
17 mph
20
NYGGiants
2-8
TBD
MetLife Stadium
55°F
17 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Packers
0
13
6
8
27
Giants
7
6
0
7
20
Spread
+7.5
Total
OVER
41.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
298
336
Total Plays
52
69
Yards / Play
5.7
4.9
EPA / Play
+0.38
+0.15
Passing Yards
170
194
Comp/Att
15/27(56%)
19/29(66%)
Yards / Pass
6.3
6.7
EPA / Pass
+0.46
+0.22
Rushing Yards
128
142
Rush Attempts
23
38
Yards / Rush
5.6
3.7
EPA / Rush
+0.25
+0.10
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
22
Passing 1st downs
11
10
Rushing 1st downs
7
10
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
64%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
7
7
3rd Down Attempts
11
14
Red Zone %
100%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
4
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-4.01
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-12
-7
Sack EPA
-0.74
-3.42
Penalties
5
6
Penalty Yards
48
77
Penalty EPA
-5.62
-7.27
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
GBPackersFavored
Opening
-7.5
Current
-7.5
Model
-7.0
Win Probability
Market74.9%
Model72.4%
Spread Pick
Giants+7.5
Expected Value
+5.5%
Cover Probability
55.3%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-130
Home nfelo
1,421
Away nfelo
1,581
Home Field
+64.0
Base HFA
+41.9
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+14.6
Time Adj
+7.5
Net QB Adjustment
-34.9
Home QB Adjustment
-26.7
Away QB Adjustment
+8.2
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-167.2
Model Spread
+7.0
Quarterbacks
J. Love
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
+8.2
J. Winston
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
-26.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Packers Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
29
Yards / Game
12
29
Passing Yards / Game
19
15
Rushing Yards / Game
19
30
EPA
EPA / Play
5
29
EPA / Pass
2
23
EPA / Rush
13
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
7
Interceptions / Game
3
28
Fumbles / Game
10
28
Turnover EPA / Game
27
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
18
4th Down Efficiency
9
25
RZ Efficiency
4
32
Giants Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
7
Yards / Game
15
6
Passing Yards / Game
8
13
Rushing Yards / Game
10
7
EPA
EPA / Play
13
20
EPA / Pass
20
20
EPA / Rush
10
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
27
Interceptions / Game
14
27
Fumbles / Game
16
19
Turnover EPA / Game
17
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
12
4th Down Efficiency
19
19
RZ Efficiency
27
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Packers
5-4-1
SU
3-7
ATS
4-6
O/U
Giants
2-8
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U