GBPackers
13-4
22
TBD
Lumen Field
52°F
15 mph
28
SEASeahawks
13-4
TBD
Lumen Field
52°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Packers
13
3
0
6
0
22
Seahawks
0
0
7
15
6
28
Spread
+8.5
Total
OVER
44.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
306
399
Total Plays
65
71
Yards / Play
4.7
5.6
EPA / Play
-0.20
-0.16
Passing Yards
171
205
Comp/Att
19/34(56%)
15/31(48%)
Yards / Pass
5.0
6.6
EPA / Pass
-0.28
-0.19
Rushing Yards
135
194
Rush Attempts
30
35
Yards / Rush
4.5
5.5
EPA / Rush
-0.11
+0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
20
Passing 1st downs
11
10
Rushing 1st downs
6
10
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
21%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
3
8
3rd Down Attempts
14
16
Red Zone %
33%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
5
Interceptions
2
4
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-9.28
-21.28
Sacks
1
5
Sack Yards
-7
-25
Sack EPA
-1.93
-4.53
Penalties
5
8
Penalty Yards
45
40
Penalty EPA
+5.70
-6.57
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-8.5
Model
-7.0
Win Probability
Market76.8%
Model73.0%
Spread Pick
Packers+8.5
Expected Value
+14.0%
Cover Probability
59.7%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+94
Home nfelo
1,685
Away nfelo
1,650
Home Field
+61.9
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
-22.4
Net QB Adjustment
-11.2
Home QB Adjustment
+16.5
Away QB Adjustment
+27.7
Market Regression
+41.8
Final Difference
172.4
Model Spread
-7.0
Quarterbacks
A. Rodgers
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+27.7
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+16.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Packers Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
1
Yards / Game
6
1
Passing Yards / Game
3
6
Rushing Yards / Game
10
4
EPA
EPA / Play
3
4
EPA / Pass
2
4
EPA / Rush
12
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
24
12
Interceptions / Game
2
13
Fumbles / Game
10
15
Turnover EPA / Game
29
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
16
4th Down Efficiency
22
28
RZ Efficiency
11
22
Seahawks Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
14
Yards / Game
8
15
Passing Yards / Game
13
28
Rushing Yards / Game
1
26
EPA
EPA / Play
8
17
EPA / Pass
10
7
EPA / Rush
1
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
25
Interceptions / Game
5
4
Fumbles / Game
9
19
Turnover EPA / Game
31
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
18
4th Down Efficiency
29
23
RZ Efficiency
19
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Packers
8-2
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U
Seahawks
9-1
SU
7-2-1
ATS
5-5
O/U