CARPanthers
3-3
3
TBD
MetLife Stadium
57°F
025
NYGGiants
1-5
TBD
MetLife Stadium
57°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Panthers
3
0
0
0
3
Giants
0
3
7
13
23
Spread
+3
Total
UNDER
42.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
173
302
Total Plays
62
67
Yards / Play
2.8
4.5
EPA / Play
-0.44
-0.05
Passing Yards
117
199
Comp/Att
19/39(49%)
24/34(71%)
Yards / Pass
3.0
5.9
EPA / Pass
-0.61
-0.03
Rushing Yards
56
103
Rush Attempts
17
31
Yards / Rush
3.3
3.3
EPA / Rush
+0.11
-0.19
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
11
21
Passing 1st downs
8
11
Rushing 1st downs
3
7
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
13%
44%
3rd Down Conversions
2
7
3rd Down Attempts
15
16
Red Zone %
0%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-3.51
--
Sacks
6
2
Sack Yards
-28
-20
Sack EPA
-10.16
-3.75
Penalties
7
8
Penalty Yards
37
60
Penalty EPA
-4.74
-3.88
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CARPanthersFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-2.0
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model55.0%
Spread Pick
Giants+3.0
Expected Value
+6.4%
Cover Probability
51.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+2
Home nfelo
1,389
Away nfelo
1,456
Home Field
+55.5
Base HFA
+41.2
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+14.4
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+13.3
Home QB Adjustment
-0.2
Away QB Adjustment
-13.5
Market Regression
-7.0
Final Difference
-34.8
Model Spread
+2.0
Quarterbacks
S. Darnold
Proj. Value
-0.6
Team Elo Adj
-13.5
D. Jones
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
-0.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Panthers Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
23
Yards / Game
30
21
Passing Yards / Game
29
17
Rushing Yards / Game
20
25
EPA
EPA / Play
32
20
EPA / Pass
32
19
EPA / Rush
17
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
16
Interceptions / Game
32
13
Fumbles / Game
13
18
Turnover EPA / Game
1
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
17
4th Down Efficiency
31
29
RZ Efficiency
25
5
Giants Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
20
Yards / Game
31
2
Passing Yards / Game
32
1
Rushing Yards / Game
23
18
EPA
EPA / Play
31
7
EPA / Pass
31
12
EPA / Rush
24
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
5
Interceptions / Game
29
27
Fumbles / Game
25
18
Turnover EPA / Game
2
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
8
4th Down Efficiency
26
18
RZ Efficiency
32
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Panthers
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
3-7
O/U
Giants
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
3-7
O/U