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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. panthers @ jets week 7, 2025

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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CAR logo
CARPanthers
3-3
13
TBD
MetLife Stadium
71°F
13 mph
6
NYJJets
0-6
NYJ logo
TBD
MetLife Stadium
71°F
13 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Panthers
3
7
3
0
13
Jets
0
3
0
3
6

Spread

CAR logo
+1.5

Total

UNDER
40

Game Statistics

General
Panthers logo
Jets logo
Total Yards
302
220
Total Plays
70
60
Yards / Play
4.3
3.7
EPA / Play
-0.07
-0.24
Passing Yards
177
139
Comp/Att
19/32(59%)
16/34(47%)
Yards / Pass
5.5
4.1
EPA / Pass
-0.08
-0.40
Rushing Yards
125
81
Rush Attempts
36
20
Yards / Rush
3.5
4.0
EPA / Rush
-0.13
-0.09
Downs & Conversions
Panthers logo
Jets logo
1st Downs
17
12
Passing 1st downs
10
8
Rushing 1st downs
7
3
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
29%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
5
7
3rd Down Attempts
17
15
Red Zone %
33%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
1
Negative Plays
Panthers logo
Jets logo
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-5.66
Sacks
2
6
Sack Yards
-21
-33
Sack EPA
-4.95
-7.35
Penalties
6
5
Penalty Yards
45
26
Penalty EPA
-4.73
-3.37

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
NYJ logo
NYJJetsFavored
Opening
+1.5
Current
-1.5
Model
-2.5

Win Probability

Market53.2%
Model55.2%
Spread Pick
NYJ logo
Jets-1.5
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+4.1%
Cover Probability
54.5%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+91
Home nfelo
1,427
Away nfelo
1,382
Home Field
+55.1
Base HFA
+40.8
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+14.3
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-8.8
Home QB Adjustment
-7.8
Away QB Adjustment
+1.0
Market Regression
-2.7
Final Difference
36.4
Model Spread
-2.5

Quarterbacks

B. Young headshot

B. Young

Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+1.0
Value
Ptile
12/15
-5.7
13
12/22
4.6
78
12/29
-5.4
14
01/05
11.1
98
09/07
-5.9
13
09/14
1.9
64
09/21
-1.8
38
09/28
-1.9
37
10/05
-4.1
23
10/12
0.9
58
J. Fields headshot

J. Fields

Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
-7.8
Value
Ptile
09/15
-2.8
29
09/22
1.9
62
09/29
6.3
86
10/06
-1.9
35
10/13
0.8
53
09/07
7.7
93
09/14
-6.7
9
09/29
8.4
95
10/05
0.9
57
10/12
-13.1
0

Team Matchup Ranks

Panthers Offense vs Jets Defense
Panthers logo
Jets logo

Total

Points / Game
27
30
Yards / Game
27
23
Passing Yards / Game
18
15
Rushing Yards / Game
11
27

EPA

EPA / Play
25
30
EPA / Pass
26
31
EPA / Rush
20
24

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
3
2
Interceptions / Game
16
32
Fumbles / Game
23
29
Turnover EPA / Game
9
1

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
23
10
4th Down Efficiency
4
32
RZ Efficiency
26
24
Jets Offense vs Panthers Defense
Jets logo
Panthers logo

Total

Points / Game
28
16
Yards / Game
28
15
Passing Yards / Game
32
2
Rushing Yards / Game
7
19

EPA

EPA / Play
27
23
EPA / Pass
29
23
EPA / Rush
24
26

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
2
18
Interceptions / Game
23
8
Fumbles / Game
28
19
Turnover EPA / Game
10
15

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
26
31
4th Down Efficiency
28
23
RZ Efficiency
31
13

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

CAR logo

Panthers

5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
8-2
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/15
-16
L
L
O
12/22
6
W
W
O
12/29
-34
L
L
O
01/05
6
W
W
O
09/07
-16
L
L
U
09/14
-5
L
W
O
09/21
30
W
W
U
09/28
-29
L
L
O
10/05
3
W
W
O
10/12
3
W
W
O
NYJ logo

Jets

2-8
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/15
7
W
W
O
12/22
-10
L
L
U
12/29
-26
L
L
O
01/05
12
W
W
O
09/07
-2
L
W
O
09/14
-20
L
L
U
09/21
-2
L
W
O
09/29
-6
L
L
O
10/05
-15
L
L
O
10/12
-2
L
W
U