CARPanthers
3-3
13
TBD
MetLife Stadium
71°F
13 mph
6
NYJJets
0-6
TBD
MetLife Stadium
71°F
13 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Panthers
3
7
3
0
13
Jets
0
3
0
3
6
Spread
+1.5
Total
UNDER
40
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
302
220
Total Plays
70
60
Yards / Play
4.3
3.7
EPA / Play
-0.07
-0.24
Passing Yards
177
139
Comp/Att
19/32(59%)
16/34(47%)
Yards / Pass
5.5
4.1
EPA / Pass
-0.08
-0.40
Rushing Yards
125
81
Rush Attempts
36
20
Yards / Rush
3.5
4.0
EPA / Rush
-0.13
-0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
12
Passing 1st downs
10
8
Rushing 1st downs
7
3
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
29%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
5
7
3rd Down Attempts
17
15
Red Zone %
33%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-5.66
Sacks
2
6
Sack Yards
-21
-33
Sack EPA
-4.95
-7.35
Penalties
6
5
Penalty Yards
45
26
Penalty EPA
-4.73
-3.37
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYJJetsFavored
Opening
+1.5
Current
-1.5
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market53.2%
Model55.3%
Spread Pick
Jets-1.5
Expected Value
+4.1%
Cover Probability
54.5%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+93
Home nfelo
1,425
Away nfelo
1,378
Home Field
+55.1
Base HFA
+40.8
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+14.3
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-8.8
Home QB Adjustment
-7.8
Away QB Adjustment
+1.0
Market Regression
-3.3
Final Difference
36.7
Model Spread
-2.5
Quarterbacks
B. Young
Proj. Value
-2.1
Team Elo Adj
+1.0
J. Fields
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
-7.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Panthers Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
27
Yards / Game
22
20
Passing Yards / Game
14
14
Rushing Yards / Game
9
23
EPA
EPA / Play
25
28
EPA / Pass
25
27
EPA / Rush
15
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
2
Interceptions / Game
20
32
Fumbles / Game
26
30
Turnover EPA / Game
6
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
13
4th Down Efficiency
7
29
RZ Efficiency
20
13
Jets Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
13
Yards / Game
29
16
Passing Yards / Game
32
2
Rushing Yards / Game
4
17
EPA
EPA / Play
23
23
EPA / Pass
27
26
EPA / Rush
20
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
14
Interceptions / Game
6
16
Fumbles / Game
29
23
Turnover EPA / Game
12
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
29
4th Down Efficiency
20
22
RZ Efficiency
23
9
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Panthers
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
8-2
O/U
Jets
2-8
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U