CARPanthers
4-6
32
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
59°F
12 mph
35
OAKRaiders
8-2
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
59°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Panthers
7
0
18
7
32
Raiders
7
11
0
11
29
Spread
+3.5
Total
OVER
48.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
358
368
Total Plays
58
72
Yards / Play
6.2
5.1
EPA / Play
-0.01
-0.01
Passing Yards
229
312
Comp/Att
14/31(45%)
26/40(65%)
Yards / Pass
7.4
7.8
EPA / Pass
-0.12
+0.26
Rushing Yards
129
56
Rush Attempts
25
31
Yards / Rush
5.2
1.8
EPA / Rush
+0.18
-0.39
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
22
Passing 1st downs
8
15
Rushing 1st downs
7
5
Penalty 1st downs
4
2
3rd Down %
30%
53%
3rd Down Conversions
3
8
3rd Down Attempts
10
15
Red Zone %
100%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-9.14
-12.02
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-17
-5
Sack EPA
-3.99
-0.81
Penalties
7
7
Penalty Yards
67
46
Penalty EPA
-7.32
-6.07
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
OAKRaidersFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.5
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market62.5%
Model62.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+74
Home nfelo
1,535
Away nfelo
1,578
Home Field
+77.6
Base HFA
+57.1
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+20.4
Net QB Adjustment
+40.2
Home QB Adjustment
+28.3
Away QB Adjustment
-11.9
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
88.7
Model Spread
-3.5
Quarterbacks
C. Newton
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
-11.9
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
+28.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Panthers Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
20
Yards / Game
19
24
Passing Yards / Game
18
19
Rushing Yards / Game
10
23
EPA
EPA / Play
22
14
EPA / Pass
25
21
EPA / Rush
14
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
31
Interceptions / Game
28
11
Fumbles / Game
16
7
Turnover EPA / Game
5
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
13
4th Down Efficiency
7
3
RZ Efficiency
11
26
Raiders Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
26
Yards / Game
10
21
Passing Yards / Game
26
32
Rushing Yards / Game
6
7
EPA
EPA / Play
15
11
EPA / Pass
17
17
EPA / Rush
17
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
14
Interceptions / Game
9
4
Fumbles / Game
15
8
Turnover EPA / Game
26
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
11
4th Down Efficiency
20
27
RZ Efficiency
13
2
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Panthers
4-6
SU
2-7-1
ATS
5-5
O/U
Raiders
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
8-2
O/U