CARPanthers
2-5
13
TBD
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
75°F
2 mph
10
LARRams
3-4
TBD
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
75°F
2 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Panthers
7
0
0
6
13
Rams
0
0
0
10
10
Spread
3
P
Total
UNDER
44.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
244
339
Total Plays
62
67
Yards / Play
3.9
5.1
EPA / Play
-0.08
-0.16
Passing Yards
185
280
Comp/Att
20/32(63%)
27/46(59%)
Yards / Pass
5.8
6.1
EPA / Pass
-0.03
-0.07
Rushing Yards
59
59
Rush Attempts
25
17
Yards / Rush
2.4
3.5
EPA / Rush
-0.18
-0.28
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
18
Passing 1st downs
11
15
Rushing 1st downs
3
3
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
40%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
15
14
Red Zone %
33%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-4.05
Sacks
5
4
Sack Yards
-40
-16
Sack EPA
-10.79
-7.28
Penalties
5
10
Penalty Yards
35
109
Penalty EPA
-3.05
-7.59
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CARPanthersFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model59.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-26
Home nfelo
1,473
Away nfelo
1,580
Home Field
+83.8
Base HFA
+57.2
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
+16.4
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+10.2
Net QB Adjustment
-1.9
Home QB Adjustment
-2.8
Away QB Adjustment
-0.9
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-68.3
Model Spread
+3.0
Quarterbacks
C. Newton
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
-0.9
C. Keenum
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
-2.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Panthers Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
22
Yards / Game
19
9
Passing Yards / Game
18
13
Rushing Yards / Game
10
16
EPA
EPA / Play
22
17
EPA / Pass
25
18
EPA / Rush
14
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
2
Interceptions / Game
28
22
Fumbles / Game
16
20
Turnover EPA / Game
5
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
10
4th Down Efficiency
7
32
RZ Efficiency
11
31
Rams Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
26
Yards / Game
32
21
Passing Yards / Game
23
32
Rushing Yards / Game
31
7
EPA
EPA / Play
32
11
EPA / Pass
32
17
EPA / Rush
31
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
14
Interceptions / Game
30
4
Fumbles / Game
16
8
Turnover EPA / Game
1
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
11
4th Down Efficiency
28
27
RZ Efficiency
24
2
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Panthers
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
7-3
O/U
Rams
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U