CARPanthers
4-7
7
TBD
Lumen Field
37°F
4 mph
40
SEASeahawks
7-3
TBD
Lumen Field
37°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Panthers
0
7
0
0
7
Seahawks
10
13
7
10
40
Spread
-8.5
Total
OVER
44
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
271
534
Total Plays
54
71
Yards / Play
5.0
7.5
EPA / Play
-0.34
+0.26
Passing Yards
--
294
Comp/Att
14/33(42%)
28/39(72%)
Yards / Pass
--
7.5
EPA / Pass
-0.21
+0.20
Rushing Yards
89
240
Rush Attempts
21
29
Yards / Rush
4.2
8.3
EPA / Rush
-0.38
+0.33
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
29
Passing 1st downs
9
16
Rushing 1st downs
5
11
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
42%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
5
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
14
Red Zone %
0%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-10.30
-3.20
Sacks
--
3
Sack Yards
--
-21
Sack EPA
--
-6.85
Penalties
6
6
Penalty Yards
63
37
Penalty EPA
-9.47
-3.61
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-6.5
Current
-8.5
Model
-9.5
Win Probability
Market76.8%
Model78.8%
Spread Pick
Seahawks-8.5
Expected Value
+3.6%
Cover Probability
54.3%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+260
Home nfelo
1,614
Away nfelo
1,578
Home Field
+107.8
Base HFA
+57.2
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+19.9
Time Adj
+30.7
Net QB Adjustment
+115.7
Home QB Adjustment
-10.6
Away QB Adjustment
-126.3
Market Regression
+14.3
Final Difference
227.7
Model Spread
-9.5
Quarterbacks
D. Anderson
Proj. Value
-3.3
Team Elo Adj
-126.3
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
-10.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Panthers Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
2
Yards / Game
19
5
Passing Yards / Game
18
14
Rushing Yards / Game
10
6
EPA
EPA / Play
22
8
EPA / Pass
25
16
EPA / Rush
14
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
6
Interceptions / Game
28
25
Fumbles / Game
16
23
Turnover EPA / Game
5
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
12
4th Down Efficiency
7
5
RZ Efficiency
11
20
Seahawks Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
26
Yards / Game
15
21
Passing Yards / Game
4
32
Rushing Yards / Game
21
7
EPA
EPA / Play
14
11
EPA / Pass
10
17
EPA / Rush
21
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
14
Interceptions / Game
15
4
Fumbles / Game
6
8
Turnover EPA / Game
21
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
11
4th Down Efficiency
21
27
RZ Efficiency
26
2
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Panthers
4-6
SU
3-6-1
ATS
5-5
O/U
Seahawks
6-3-1
SU
6-4
ATS
5-5
O/U